Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Puzzle Platformer?

Collectathon + Puzzle Platformer

Of 92 developers who shipped a Collectathon Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 139 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×557 the market median. Revenue is up 300% on the market; 139 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 300% on the market, 139 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $479 → $2.8k → $898 → $2.0k → $327 → $1.7k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,633)
Top 5% $264k (exactly $264,468)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 287
Announced 139
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 300% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Puzzle Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Funny, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 5,706 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 68 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 139 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Supraland older $19.99 12,376 95% 371k $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) Supra Games
Webbed older $9.99 13,820 97% 415k $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) Sbug Games
Supraland Six Inches Under older $19.99 3,975 96% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) Supra Games
Tinykin older $24.99 2,870 97% 86k $2.2M (exactly $2,151,639) Splashteam
SpongeBob SquarePants: Titans of the Tide $39.99 1,151 93% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,380,855) Purple Lamp
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
Funko Fusion older $34.99 679 63% 20k $713k (exactly $712,746) 1010 Games
Snake Pass older $19.99 1,176 87% 35k $705k (exactly $705,247) Sumo Digital
Submerged: Hidden Depths older $29.99 741 89% 22k $667k (exactly $666,678) Uppercut Games Pty Ltd
Promenade older $19.99 841 94% 25k $504k (exactly $504,348) Holy Cap
Succubus Successor: Delilah's Juicy Journey $14.99 883 90% 26k $397k (exactly $397,085) Ramen Cat Studio, 樹画祭
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
RUBATO $19.99 441 97% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) dconn
Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum $19.99 357 98% 11k $214k (exactly $214,093) Jupiter Corporation
Ruffy and the Riverside $19.99 170 85% 5.1k $102k (exactly $101,949) Zockrates Laboratories UG
Babushka's Glitch Dungeon $5.99 259 98% 7.8k $47k (exactly $46,542) pets club 2
Hyper Team Recon $19.99 74 100% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) Nathan Burton
Garden Trills $14.99 87 96% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Yukim

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.