Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Precision Platformer?

Collectathon + Precision Platformer

Of 76 developers who shipped a Collectathon Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 94 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×217 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 94 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 94 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $2.2k → $598 → $898 → $1.5k → $838 → $240 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $102,981)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 206
Announced 94
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,075 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $750, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 94 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demon Turf: Queens Edition older $29.99 577 84% 17k $519k (exactly $519,127) Fabraz
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Lunistice older $4.99 1,812 95% 54k $271k (exactly $271,256) A Grumpy Fox
Symphonia $19.99 325 88% 9.8k $195k (exactly $194,902) Sunny Peak
Tiny Thor older $19.99 207 79% 6.2k $124k (exactly $124,138) Asylum Square
Grapple Dogs: Cosmic Canines older $17.99 199 97% 6.0k $107k (exactly $107,400) Medallion Games
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Backrooms Cats and Lava older $29.99 105 79% 3.2k $94k (exactly $94,468) Galactic Geckon
Digital Meow older $29.99 101 83% 3.0k $91k (exactly $90,870) Galactic Geckon
PsiloSybil $12.99 232 85% 7.0k $90k (exactly $90,410) bad_vertex
Decline's Drops $14.99 170 96% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Le Moulin aux Bulles
Outrider Mako $17.99 121 65% 3.6k $65k (exactly $65,304) Asamado Games
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
A Fox Tale $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Danny Peet
Unaccessible $9.99 55 94% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) REMBOT GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.