Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Platformer?

Collectathon + Platformer

Of 272 developers who shipped a Collectathon Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 392 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×572 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 392 games are announced against 144 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 392 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 272
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.6k → $2.7k → $897 → $1.3k → $987 → $478 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 272
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,397)
Top 5% $272k (exactly $271,664)
Developers, 2 yr 272
Released games 705
Announced 392
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 25,822 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $750, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 158 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 392 games are announced against 144 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Hat in Time older $29.99 42,863 97% 1.3M $39M (exactly $38,563,841) Gears for Breakfast
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy older $39.99 14,211 92% 426k $17M (exactly $17,048,937) Toys for Bob, Iron Galaxy Studios
Supraland older $19.99 12,376 95% 371k $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) Supra Games
Pumpkin Jack older $29.99 7,416 91% 222k $6.7M (exactly $6,672,175) Evil Raptor
Crash Bandicoot™ 4: It’s About Time older $39.99 3,985 86% 120k $4.8M (exactly $4,780,804) Toys for Bob, Beenox, Activision Shangh… (Toys for Bob, Beenox, Activision Shanghai, Hardsuit Labs, Iron Galaxy Studios)
Webbed older $9.99 13,820 97% 415k $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) Sbug Games
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Cosmic Shake older $39.99 3,129 92% 94k $3.8M (exactly $3,753,861) Purple Lamp
Psychonauts older $9.99 12,343 95% 370k $3.7M (exactly $3,699,197) Double Fine Productions
Shelldiver $4.99 16,806 98% 504k $2.5M (exactly $2,515,858) Gagonfe
Supraland Six Inches Under older $19.99 3,975 96% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) Supra Games
SpongeBob SquarePants: Titans of the Tide $39.99 1,151 93% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,380,855) Purple Lamp
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
Yooka-Replaylee $29.99 1,045 92% 31k $940k (exactly $940,186) Playtonic Games
Duskfade $29.99 793 91% 24k $713k (exactly $713,462) Weird Beluga
Funi Raccoon Game $11.99 1,683 99% 50k $605k (exactly $605,375) Crayon, Kit
Bubsy 4D $19.99 777 92% 23k $466k (exactly $465,967) Fabraz
Succubus Successor: Delilah's Juicy Journey $14.99 883 90% 26k $397k (exactly $397,085) Ramen Cat Studio, 樹画祭
Mr. Sleepy Man $19.99 636 98% 19k $381k (exactly $381,409) Devin Santi
Eternity Egg · EA $19.99 577 82% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) USERLANDS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.