Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Party Game?

Collectathon + Party Game

Of 24 developers who shipped a Collectathon Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 43 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 565% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $390 → $239 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,348)
Top 5% $40k (exactly $39,916)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 38
Announced 43
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 565% on the market, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Party Game; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 587 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $39k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kukoro: Stream chat games older $4.99 913 97% 27k $137k (exactly $136,676) HeyNau
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Jumping Jazz Cats $8.99 148 74% 4.4k $40k (exactly $39,916) Le Catnip Collective
Tidy Up Together $5.99 221 80% 6.6k $40k (exactly $39,714) Malum Games
Hodgepodge Hunch older $4.99 140 93% 4.2k $21k (exactly $20,958) uracon
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD
Running Fable older $7.99 15 93% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Seashell Studio
Shores of Plunder · EA older $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Snowchimp Interactive
Flip or Fade: The Bottle Flip $8.99 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) Unagi Tech
NOMSTERS $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Igor Yakunin
Mudventure · EA $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Mud Diggers
Dig Baby Dig Company · EA $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) SoMeh Studio
CHEATED $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) REAL PLAYERS DEV

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.