Games › Collectathon › Collectathon + Noir
Should I ship a Noir Collectathon game?
Collectathon + Noir
Only 10 developers shipped a Noir Collectathon game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mosaic of the Strange, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 10 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) |
| Top 25% | $2.8k (exactly $2,792) |
| Top 5% | $88k (exactly $88,072) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Noir
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 92% positive over 394 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 10 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tales From Off-Peak City Vol. 1 | older | $9.99 | 533 98% | 16k | $160k (exactly $159,740) | Cosmo D |
| | Mosaic of the Strange | $12.99 | 226 92% | 6.8k | $88k (exactly $88,072) | Mark Ffrench | |
| | Sunshine Shuffle | older | $9.99 | 156 76% | 4.7k | $47k (exactly $46,753) | Strange Scaffold |
| | moonchrome. | $10.99 | 22 95% | 660 | $7.3k (exactly $7,253) | upa=宇羽 | |
| | Beyond the Invisible: Darkness Came | older | $9.99 | 15 53% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Graphium Studio |
| | Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure | older | $6.99 | 20 75% | 600 | $4.2k (exactly $4,194) | Nezhysoft |
| | Find Cats in the Casino | $0.99 | 94 94% | 2.8k | $2.8k (exactly $2,792) | MeowSignal | |
| | Gunma's Ambition -You and me are Gunma- Reiwa 2nd national census edition | $3.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | RucKyGAMES | |
| | Brie Parmesan Mysteries | · EA older | $6.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $2.1k (exactly $2,097) | Rat Pack Games |
| | Beasts Shall Rise | · EA older | $11.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Goblin Games Ltd |
| | Aerial_Knight's MrFreezy | $4.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | Aerial_Knight | |
| | The Lion Gambles Everything He Owns | $0.99 | 18 83% | 540 | $535 (exactly $535) | Simba | |
| | Lavender Field | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | KamilaFoxGames | |
| | Mary | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Pinster Games | |
| | Stabby Redux | · EA | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Soaring Roc Studio |
| | Waste Runner: Critical Waste | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Black Scarab Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.