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Should I ship a Nature Collectathon game?
Collectathon + Nature
Of 192 developers who shipped a Nature Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 258 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×501 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 258 games are announced against 110 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
| Top 25% | $6.6k (exactly $6,587) |
| Top 5% | $238k (exactly $238,022) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 192 |
| Released games | 423 |
| Announced | 258 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 16,838 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 94 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 258 games are announced against 110 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tiny Bookshop | $19.99 | 6,967 96% | 209k | $4.2M (exactly $4,178,110) | neoludic games | |
| | Webbed | older | $9.99 | 13,820 97% | 415k | $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) | Sbug Games |
| | Alba: A Wildlife Adventure | older | $16.99 | 6,799 97% | 204k | $3.5M (exactly $3,465,450) | ustwo games |
| | Chillquarium | older | $5.99 | 7,780 92% | 233k | $1.4M (exactly $1,398,066) | Ben Reber |
| | Ogu and the Secret Forest | older | $24.99 | 1,817 94% | 55k | $1.4M (exactly $1,362,205) | Moonlab Studio, Sinkhole Studio |
| | Outpath | older | $14.99 | 2,898 92% | 87k | $1.3M (exactly $1,303,231) | David Moralejo Sánchez |
| | Flower | older | $6.99 | 4,790 79% | 144k | $1.0M (exactly $1,004,463) | thatgamecompany |
| | The Fisherman - Fishing Planet | older | $29.99 | 975 62% | 29k | $877k (exactly $877,208) | Fishing Planet LLC |
| | Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping | $7.49 | 3,386 95% | 102k | $761k (exactly $760,834) | Lunheim Studios | |
| | Shin chan: Shiro and the Coal Town | $29.99 | 837 95% | 25k | $753k (exactly $753,049) | h.a.n.d., Inc. | |
| | Sapphire Safari | · EA | $12.99 | 1,653 92% | 50k | $644k (exactly $644,174) | Kinky Fridays |
| | Find Matt's Cats | $19.99 | 719 98% | 22k | $431k (exactly $431,184) | Matt Roszak | |
| | Adorable Adventures | $19.99 | 698 93% | 21k | $419k (exactly $418,591) | Wild Sheep Studio | |
| | Mika and The Witch's Mountain | $19.99 | 671 86% | 20k | $402k (exactly $402,399) | Chibig, Nukefist | |
| | Isopod: A Webbed Spin-off | $19.99 | 511 88% | 15k | $306k (exactly $306,447) | Sbug Games | |
| | Cinnabunny | $24.99 | 403 96% | 12k | $302k (exactly $302,129) | Reky Studios | |
| | Mudborne: Frog Management Sim | $7.99 | 993 96% | 30k | $238k (exactly $238,022) | ellraiser, TNgineers |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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