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Should I ship a Collectathon Multiple Endings game?
Collectathon + Multiple Endings
Of 72 developers who shipped a Collectathon Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 101 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×376 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 101 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,992) |
| Top 5% | $178k (exactly $178,442) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 72 |
| Released games | 200 |
| Announced | 101 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Story Rich, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 96% positive over 7,627 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 51 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 101 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
| | Isles of Sea and Sky | older | $19.99 | 1,538 91% | 46k | $922k (exactly $922,339) | Cicada Games |
| | Funi Raccoon Game | $11.99 | 1,683 99% | 50k | $605k (exactly $605,375) | Crayon, Kit | |
| | Maid Cafe on Electric Street | $18.99 | 595 82% | 18k | $339k (exactly $338,972) | Adventurer's Tavern | |
| | Starstruck Vagabond | older | $19.99 | 559 86% | 17k | $335k (exactly $335,232) | Ben 'Yahtzee' Croshaw |
| | Cirno! Lifts a Boulder | $5.99 | 993 97% | 30k | $178k (exactly $178,442) | Alexander Golke | |
| | Disillusion ST | $10.99 | 524 96% | 16k | $173k (exactly $172,763) | Disillusion Dev, Disillusion Dev | |
| | World's End Club | older | $19.99 | 228 68% | 6.8k | $137k (exactly $136,732) | IzanagiGames, Too Kyo Games, Grounding… (IzanagiGames, Too Kyo Games, Grounding Inc., ESQUADRA,inc.) |
| | 夏目友人帳 ~葉月の記~ | $49.99 | 77 80% | 2.3k | $115k (exactly $115,477) | Toydium | |
| | [DE:]Fanastasis | older | $19.99 | 177 96% | 5.3k | $106k (exactly $106,147) | Mosamosa |
| | Chicken Hill | $2.99 | 1,134 99% | 34k | $102k (exactly $101,720) | 梗立游戏 | |
| | Valkyrie Saga | $7.99 | 288 92% | 8.6k | $69k (exactly $69,034) | Public Void | |
| | Interdimensional Vending Machine | $7.99 | 185 84% | 5.6k | $44k (exactly $44,344) | Neuroticfly Games | |
| | Playing House | $6.99 | 197 94% | 5.9k | $41k (exactly $41,311) | 鬱薔薇檸檬(UtubaraLemon) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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