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Should I ship a Magic Collectathon game?
Collectathon + Magic
Of 86 developers who shipped a Magic Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 157 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $380k, ×818 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 157 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,556) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,988) |
| Top 5% | $388k (exactly $388,345) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 86 |
| Released games | 205 |
| Announced | 157 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Magic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 3D, Relaxing
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 30,973 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 45 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 157 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
Librarian: Tidy Up the Arcane Library! 2026 · $4.4M 
DRAGON QUEST MONSTERS: The Dark Prince 2024 · $1.4M 
DevilConnection 2025 · $975k 
Rustil: Eternal Labyrinth Castle 2026 · $541k 
Cavern of Dreams 2023 · $465k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Librarian: Tidy Up the Arcane Library! | $5.99 | 24,497 94% | 735k | $4.4M (exactly $4,402,111) | ArtRising | |
| | DRAGON QUEST MONSTERS: The Dark Prince | older | $39.99 | 1,158 71% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,389,253) | Square Enix |
| | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
| | Rustil: Eternal Labyrinth Castle | $18.99 | 950 71% | 29k | $541k (exactly $541,215) | KTMG LLC. | |
| | Cavern of Dreams | older | $12.99 | 1,194 94% | 36k | $465k (exactly $465,302) | Bynine Studio |
 | Mika and The Witch's Mountain | $19.99 | 671 86% | 20k | $402k (exactly $402,399) | Chibig, Nukefist | |
 | holoVillage: Our Cozy Days | $24.99 | 518 83% | 16k | $388k (exactly $388,345) | Roboqlo | |
 | Secret Agent Wizard Boy and the International Crime Syndicate | · EA | $9.99 | 931 96% | 28k | $279k (exactly $279,021) | John Szymanski, Evan Szymanski |
 | Lunistice | older | $4.99 | 1,812 95% | 54k | $271k (exactly $271,256) | A Grumpy Fox |
 | Full Mojo Rampage | older | $12.99 | 524 85% | 16k | $204k (exactly $204,203) | Over the Top Games |
 | Symphonia | $19.99 | 325 88% | 9.8k | $195k (exactly $194,902) | Sunny Peak | |
 | Seeds of Calamity | $14.99 | 271 78% | 8.1k | $122k (exactly $121,869) | Laborious Lark Studios | |
 | Shelves and Sorcery: Tidy Up the Enchanted Shop | $5.99 | 627 93% | 19k | $113k (exactly $112,672) | Teddy Bear Games LLC | |
 | PsiloSybil | $12.99 | 232 85% | 7.0k | $90k (exactly $90,410) | bad_vertex |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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