Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Logic game?

Collectathon + Logic

Of 71 developers who shipped a Collectathon Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 66 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 66 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 71
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $2.4k → $505 → $418 → $1.7k → $720 → $629 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 71
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,358)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $83,396)
Developers, 2 yr 71
Released games 187
Announced 66
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Logic; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 3,797 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Proverbs $8.99 1,786 96% 54k $482k (exactly $481,684) Mark Ffrench
Hatsune Miku Logic Paint S older $13.99 1,078 93% 32k $452k (exactly $452,437) Crypton Future Media
Find Matt's Cats $19.99 719 98% 22k $431k (exactly $431,184) Matt Roszak
Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum $19.99 357 98% 11k $214k (exactly $214,093) Jupiter Corporation
Logiart Grimoire older $19.99 336 94% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) Jupiter Corporation
Ninja Stealth older $4.99 912 76% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) SC Jogos
Mega Mosaic older $7.99 424 90% 13k $102k (exactly $101,633) Mark Ffrench
Q.U.B.E. 10th Anniversary older $19.99 167 89% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) Toxic Games
Ninja Stealth 2 older $4.99 667 70% 20k $100k (exactly $99,850) SC Jogos
Fossil Corner older $9.99 330 98% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,901) Brady Soglin
Nippets: A Hidden Object Game $12.99 214 92% 6.4k $83k (exactly $83,396) Blink Industries
Mosaic of The Pharaohs $8.99 297 92% 8.9k $80k (exactly $80,101) Mark Ffrench
UMAMI $13.99 153 98% 4.6k $64k (exactly $64,214) Mimmox
Mewseum: Masterpieces $6.99 133 98% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) Climbing Goat Games
Sliding Hero $14.99 42 88% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Silent Chicken
Snap & Grab $7.99 58 91% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,903) No Goblin
Cat Squeeze $9.99 38 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) Cattery Studio, Pone Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.