Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Local Multiplayer game?

Collectathon + Local Multiplayer

Only 12 developers shipped a Collectathon Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Windswept, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×593 the market median. Revenue is up 3265% on the market; 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 3265% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $299 → $1.3k → $38k → $18k (still earning) → $958 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,348)
Top 25% $39k (exactly $38,970)
Top 5% $282k (exactly $281,859)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 45
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3265% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 789 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LEGO® Batman™: The Videogame older $19.99 12,850 89% 386k $7.7M (exactly $7,706,145) Traveller's Tales
LEGO® DC Super-Villains older $39.99 5,798 91% 174k $7.0M (exactly $6,955,861) TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Boti: Byteland Overclocked older $19.99 295 68% 8.9k $177k (exactly $176,912) Purple Ray Studio
Unbox: Newbie's Adventure older $19.99 293 88% 8.8k $176k (exactly $175,712) Prospect Games
ENTROPOLY older $9.99 188 94% 5.6k $56k (exactly $56,344) Wills Blackett
Tokaido older $11.99 147 68% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Funforge
Teeto $17.99 90 94% 2.7k $49k (exactly $48,573) Eat Pant Games
Tasty Planet: Final Bite $12.99 100 90% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) Dingo Games
A Corgi's Cozy Hike $19.99 63 100% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Scalisco
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
MACHO DE PON! for Steam $8.99 5 100% 150 $1.3k (exactly $1,348) Sting
Reel it! World Fishing $12.79 3 66% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,151) SAT-BOX
Diamond Painting $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) LeiZna
NOMSTERS $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Igor Yakunin
Grab it! Crane Game $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) SAT-BOX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.