Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Local Co-Op game?

Collectathon + Local Co-Op

Only 19 developers shipped a Collectathon Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Biped 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×770 the market median. Revenue is up 3490% on the market; 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 3490% on the market, 39 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $1.9k → $1.3k → $282k → $6.2k (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,573)
Top 5% $366k (exactly $365,606)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 47
Announced 39
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3490% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Local Co-Op; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, 3D Platformer, Action
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,386 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LEGO® Batman™: The Videogame older $19.99 12,850 89% 386k $7.7M (exactly $7,706,145) Traveller's Tales
LEGO® DC Super-Villains older $39.99 5,798 91% 174k $7.0M (exactly $6,955,861) TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Boti: Byteland Overclocked older $19.99 295 68% 8.9k $177k (exactly $176,912) Purple Ray Studio
HyperRogue older $9.99 404 97% 12k $121k (exactly $121,079) Zeno Rogue
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Teeto $17.99 90 94% 2.7k $49k (exactly $48,573) Eat Pant Games
Tasty Planet: Final Bite $12.99 100 90% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) Dingo Games
A Corgi's Cozy Hike $19.99 63 100% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Scalisco
Tiny Lands 2 $9.99 126 94% 3.8k $38k (exactly $37,762) Hyper Three Studio
Capy Castaway $19.99 24 70% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Kitten Cup Studio
Pecker $9.99 21 90% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Fonteinsoft UG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.