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Should I ship a Collectathon Interactive Fiction?
Collectathon + Interactive Fiction
Of 43 developers who shipped a Collectathon Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $44k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 73 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) |
| Top 5% | $44k (exactly $44,344) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 43 |
| Released games | 111 |
| Announced | 73 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Interactive Fiction
- effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon, Interactive Fiction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.66 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Anime, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.66 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,148 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. Nearly all of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
DevilConnection 2025 · $975k 
Mosaique Neko Waifus 4 2021 · $637k 
BLACKWOOD 2026 · $424k 
Mosaique Neko Waifus 2 2020 · $384k 
Mosaique Neko Waifus 3 2020 · $275k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
| | Mosaique Neko Waifus 4 | older | $4.99 | 4,255 94% | 128k | $637k (exactly $636,974) | Lil Hentai Games |
| | BLACKWOOD | $24.99 | 565 46% | 17k | $424k (exactly $423,580) | AttritoM7 Productions | |
| | Mosaique Neko Waifus 2 | older | $4.99 | 2,563 94% | 77k | $384k (exactly $383,681) | Lil Hentai Games |
| | Mosaique Neko Waifus 3 | older | $4.99 | 1,840 94% | 55k | $275k (exactly $275,448) | Lil Hentai Games |
 | Mosaique Neko Waifus 5 | older | $5.99 | 1,328 93% | 40k | $239k (exactly $238,642) | Lil Hentai Games |
 | Garage: Bad Dream Adventure | older | $19.90 | 364 97% | 11k | $217k (exactly $217,308) | 作場金属製作所 Sakuba Metal Works, SmokymonkeyS |
 | Sumire | older | $5.99 | 887 95% | 27k | $159k (exactly $159,394) | GameTomo Team |
 | Sunshine Shuffle | older | $9.99 | 156 76% | 4.7k | $47k (exactly $46,753) | Strange Scaffold |
 | Interdimensional Vending Machine | $7.99 | 185 84% | 5.6k | $44k (exactly $44,344) | Neuroticfly Games | |
 | Master Lemon: The Quest for Iceland | $9.99 | 108 100% | 3.2k | $32k (exactly $32,368) | Pepita Digital | |
 | RigidGems Museum | $24.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $19k (exactly $18,742) | FerioWorks | |
 | The Little Tomb: The Maholova Club and the Search for a Dead Body | $11.99 | 51 96% | 1.5k | $18k (exactly $18,345) | CAVYHOUSE | |
 | Sainthood | $9.99 | 50 94% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,985) | Sainthood Project | |
 | 花奴令 Huanu Poems | $3.99 | 115 91% | 3.5k | $14k (exactly $13,766) | Fishfarms, Hokyin Studio | |
 | COPPER ODYSSEY 2 | $11.99 | 36 97% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,949) | CAM | |
 | Witch’s Seed: Goblin Slave Alchemy | $4.99 | 62 75% | 1.9k | $9.3k (exactly $9,281) | Lunar Kiss Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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