Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Grid-Based Movement game?

Collectathon + Grid-Based Movement

Only 17 developers shipped a Collectathon Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gold and Graves, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $4.5k → $2.0k → $3.4k → $809 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $1,977)
Top 5% $32k (exactly $32,346)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 51
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Grid-Based Movement; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Logic, Puzzle, Creature Collector
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 454 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $810, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LABYRINTH OF TOUHOU - GENSOKYO AND THE HEAVEN-PIERCING TREE older $29.99 363 89% 11k $327k (exactly $326,591) Nise-Eikoku Studio, CUBETYPE
The Sealed Ampoule older $19.99 56 80% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) CAVYHOUSE
Gold and Graves $5.99 180 86% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) Yoon
Mewseum: Masterpieces $6.99 133 98% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) Climbing Goat Games
Chronomon · EA $9.99 79 83% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Stone Golem Studios
Tetra Tactics older $14.99 48 79% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) Jabari Alii, Adrian Marple, manadream
Hero's Spirit older $5.99 62 90% 1.9k $11k (exactly $11,141) mod.kitchen
Square Logic older $2.99 82 97% 2.5k $7.4k (exactly $7,355) Climbing Goat Games
Farmcoz older $1.99 76 73% 2.3k $4.5k (exactly $4,537) Wigtor
Unforgettable Voyage older $4.99 29 96% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) CheddaNinja Games
Mewseum: Film Festival $6.99 19 100% 570 $4.0k (exactly $3,984) Climbing Goat Games
One more gem $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Cosmin Munteanu
Tile Tales: Pirate $5.99 11 100% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) NineZyme OÜ
Hopping Out $7.99 8 100% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) KamilFirma
Number Stomper $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) James Castle
Grid Warriors: Battles $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Junjo
The Portsmoor Abysm $8.99 3 66% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Renons Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.