Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon FPS?

FPS + Collectathon

Of 26 developers who shipped a Collectathon FPS in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×1.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×69 the market median. Revenue is up 475% on the market; 42 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 475% on the market, 42 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $1.9k → $1.9k → $1.4k → $719 → $4.6k (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for FPS + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,526)
Top 5% $104k (exactly $104,050)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 105
Announced 42
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 475% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Shooter, Action, Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,692 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Supraland 2019 · $7.4M Supraland Six Inches Under 2022 · $2.4M Lunch Lady 2021 · $1.5M Supraworld 2025 · EA · $1.3M Rise of the Triad: Ludicrous Edition 2023 · $407k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Supraland older $19.99 12,376 95% 371k $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) Supra Games
Supraland Six Inches Under older $19.99 3,975 96% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) Supra Games
Lunch Lady older $4.99 9,722 86% 292k $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) Manic Mice
Supraworld · EA $29.99 1,471 91% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) Supra Games
Rise of the Triad: Ludicrous Edition older $19.99 678 93% 20k $407k (exactly $406,597) Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New… (Nightdive Studios, Apogee Software, New Blood Interactive)
Gamer Stop Simulator · EA $12.99 267 70% 8.0k $104k (exactly $104,050) Red Axe Games
Deadline Escape · EA $4.99 433 84% 13k $65k (exactly $64,820) DeadlineEscape
ENCHAIN · EA $19.99 94 96% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) mattlawrdev
Escape from Naraka older $14.99 97 76% 2.9k $44k (exactly $43,621) XeloGames
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Blood Facsimile · EA $17.99 59 98% 1.8k $32k (exactly $31,842) Rene McCarthy
Farming Incremental But With Guns $3.99 113 88% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) Clementine Wolf Games
DOLLMAKER $8.99 45 97% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) STH
Willie's Nightfall $4.99 65 78% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Runebox Game Studio
Spook Ltd.: Warashi Homes $6.99 22 95% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Studio非

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.