Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Flight game?

Flight + Collectathon

Of 21 developers who shipped a Collectathon Flight game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $2.3k → $3.4k → $359 → $598 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,414)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $13,024)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 68
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight, Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Open World
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 268 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $13k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SimplePlanes 2015 · $3.8M Flower 2019 · $1.0M Tiny Terry's Turbo Trip 2024 · $783k The Brew Barons 2024 · $546k Lifeslide 2021 · $113k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SimplePlanes older $12.99 9,811 93% 294k $3.8M (exactly $3,823,347) Jundroo, LLC
Flower older $6.99 4,790 79% 144k $1.0M (exactly $1,004,463) thatgamecompany
Tiny Terry's Turbo Trip older $17.99 1,450 95% 44k $783k (exactly $782,565) snekflat
The Brew Barons older $21.99 828 75% 25k $546k (exactly $546,232) Lifetap Studios
Lifeslide older $9.99 376 91% 11k $113k (exactly $112,687) Dreamteck
Secrets of Rætikon older $9.99 171 69% 5.1k $51k (exactly $51,249) Broken Rules
Horse Riding Classic $7.99 105 98% 3.2k $25k (exactly $25,168) Juice Cube
Bumblebee - Little Bee Adventure older $9.99 53 94% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,884) EpiXR Games UG
Little Wings Deliveries $4.99 87 88% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,024) SkyBrave, Vort Digital, Jonathan Kihlst… (SkyBrave, Vort Digital, Jonathan Kihlström, Mount West Music)
Flying Neko Delivery older $14.99 22 63% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) Fractal Phase
Leafing Home $13.99 23 78% 690 $9.7k (exactly $9,653) Hot Fingers Interactive
The Phoenix Gene VR $24.99 10 100% 300 $7.5k (exactly $7,497) HEROmation
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games
Overlook Trail $5.99 19 100% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) Longhand Electric
One Million Stars $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Tom Sennett Games
BunnyFly: Season of Summer $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) RocketMooseX
Nocto And The Ray Of Light $13.99 1 0% 30 $420 (exactly $420) Spacefarer Retro Remasters LLC
SHARKS · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Ezone PTY LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.