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Should I ship a Female-Led Collectathon game?
Collectathon + Female Protagonist
Of 139 developers who shipped a Female-Led Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 167 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×649 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 167 games are announced against 74 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.9k (exactly $1,948) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $20,143) |
| Top 5% | $308k (exactly $308,323) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 139 |
| Released games | 337 |
| Announced | 167 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Female Protagonist
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Anime, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 10,705 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 75 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 167 games are announced against 74 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
A Hat in Time 2017 · $39M 
Atelier Yumia: The Alchemist of Memories & the Envisioned Land 2025 · $5.3M 
Crash Bandicoot™ 4: It’s About Time 2022 · $4.8M 
Webbed 2021 · $4.1M 
Atelier Sophie 2: The Alchemist of the Mysterious Dream 2022 · $3.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | A Hat in Time | older | $29.99 | 42,863 97% | 1.3M | $39M (exactly $38,563,841) | Gears for Breakfast |
| | Atelier Yumia: The Alchemist of Memories & the Envisioned Land | $69.99 | 2,534 64% | 76k | $5.3M (exactly $5,320,640) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Crash Bandicoot™ 4: It’s About Time | older | $39.99 | 3,985 86% | 120k | $4.8M (exactly $4,780,804) | Toys for Bob, Beenox, Activision Shangh… (Toys for Bob, Beenox, Activision Shanghai, Hardsuit Labs, Iron Galaxy Studios) |
| | Webbed | older | $9.99 | 13,820 97% | 415k | $4.1M (exactly $4,141,854) | Sbug Games |
| | Atelier Sophie 2: The Alchemist of the Mysterious Dream | older | $59.99 | 2,166 94% | 65k | $3.9M (exactly $3,898,150) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Alba: A Wildlife Adventure | older | $16.99 | 6,799 97% | 204k | $3.5M (exactly $3,465,450) | ustwo games |
 | River City Girls 2 | older | $39.99 | 1,552 85% | 47k | $1.9M (exactly $1,861,934) | WayForward |
 | Yooka-Laylee | older | $19.99 | 2,872 77% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,722,338) | Playtonic Games |
 | Atelier Sophie: The Alchemist of the Mysterious Book DX | older | $39.99 | 972 89% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,166,108) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Little Noah: Scion of Paradise | older | $14.99 | 2,172 92% | 65k | $977k (exactly $976,748) | Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc. |
 | Yooka-Replaylee | $29.99 | 1,045 92% | 31k | $940k (exactly $940,186) | Playtonic Games | |
 | Sapphire Safari | · EA | $12.99 | 1,653 92% | 50k | $644k (exactly $644,174) | Kinky Fridays |
 | Rustil: Eternal Labyrinth Castle | $18.99 | 950 71% | 29k | $541k (exactly $541,215) | KTMG LLC. | |
 | CICADAMATA" | $9.99 | 1,419 96% | 43k | $425k (exactly $425,274) | ✿ flowergarden | |
 | Mika and The Witch's Mountain | $19.99 | 671 86% | 20k | $402k (exactly $402,399) | Chibig, Nukefist | |
 | Succubus Successor: Delilah's Juicy Journey | $14.99 | 883 90% | 26k | $397k (exactly $397,085) | Ramen Cat Studio, 樹画祭 | |
 | Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout DX | $39.99 | 257 76% | 7.7k | $308k (exactly $308,323) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
 | Bugaboo Pocket | $19.99 | 300 86% | 9.0k | $180k (exactly $179,910) | Elytra Games | |
 | Cirno! Lifts a Boulder | $5.99 | 993 97% | 30k | $178k (exactly $178,442) | Alexander Golke |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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