Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Farming Sim?

Collectathon + Farming Sim

Of 76 developers who shipped a Collectathon Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×9.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1516 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 99 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 99 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 76
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.1k → $4.3k → $5.0k → $15k → $6.3k → $13k → $1.5k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 76
Bottom 30% $836 (exactly $836)
Median $4.3k (exactly $4,316)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,476)
Top 5% $720k (exactly $719,960)
Developers, 2 yr 76
Released games 150
Announced 99
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Farming Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Crafting, Sandbox
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,146 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $4.3k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $710k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 6 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Travellers Rest · EA older $17.99 16,538 87% 496k $8.9M (exactly $8,925,559) Isolated Games
Littlewood older $14.99 6,083 93% 182k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,525) Sean Young
Teddy's Haven · EA $14.99 2,800 95% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,259,160) Teddy Bear Games LLC
Farlands $17.99 1,628 89% 49k $879k (exactly $878,632) JanduSoft, Eric Rodríguez
The Fisherman - Fishing Planet older $29.99 975 62% 29k $877k (exactly $877,208) Fishing Planet LLC
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios
Welcome to Elderfield $17.99 1,334 87% 40k $720k (exactly $719,960) Chris Cote
Plantera older $2.99 4,518 88% 136k $405k (exactly $405,265) VaragtP
Luna's Fishing Garden older $7.99 1,689 93% 51k $405k (exactly $404,853) Coldwild Games, illufinch
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Mudborne: Frog Management Sim $7.99 993 96% 30k $238k (exactly $238,022) ellraiser, TNgineers
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
My Little Life $5.99 1,043 89% 31k $187k (exactly $187,427) 9FingerGames
Research Story $14.99 309 94% 9.3k $139k (exactly $138,957) Petal Cat Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.