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Should I ship a Dystopian Collectathon game?
Collectathon + Dystopian
Of 21 developers who shipped a Dystopian Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 440% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) |
| Top 5% | $158k (exactly $157,904) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Dystopian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Action
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,500 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CICADAMATA" | $9.99 | 1,419 96% | 43k | $425k (exactly $425,274) | ✿ flowergarden | |
| | Tales From Off-Peak City Vol. 1 | older | $9.99 | 533 98% | 16k | $160k (exactly $159,740) | Cosmo D |
| | Anomalous Coffee Machine 2 | $6.99 | 753 81% | 23k | $158k (exactly $157,904) | HoruBrain Interactive | |
| | tomorrow won't come for those without ██████ | older | $1.99 | 975 93% | 29k | $58k (exactly $58,208) | etherane |
| | Chipmatic | $11.99 | 158 65% | 4.7k | $57k (exactly $56,833) | Molter | |
| | Blood Facsimile | · EA | $17.99 | 59 98% | 1.8k | $32k (exactly $31,842) | Rene McCarthy |
| | MatchR: Now Hiring | older | $4.99 | 70 90% | 2.1k | $10k (exactly $10,479) | Delirium Tremens Games |
| | Wavekin | $9.99 | 28 100% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | La Folie Studio | |
| | Idle Trillionaire | older | $5.00 | 41 82% | 1.2k | $6.2k (exactly $6,150) | The Slanted Room |
| | Mound of Music | $9.99 | 19 78% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | Elif Games | |
| | GutBuster | $4.99 | 38 100% | 1.1k | $5.7k (exactly $5,689) | RoyalJellySoftware | |
| | CONCRETE | $1.99 | 23 82% | 690 | $1.4k (exactly $1,373) | Benjamin Pilbrow | |
| | Void Jump VR | $14.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | LemmoLab | |
| | Fantasy Waifu Collector | $19.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $600 (exactly $600) | SyKoHPaTh |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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