Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Dragons

Only 16 developers shipped a Dragon Collectathon game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tasty Planet: Final Bite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.0k, ×8.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×62 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 23 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $57k → $1.7k → $17k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $838 (exactly $838)
Median $5.0k (exactly $5,034)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,892)
Top 5% $39k (exactly $38,970)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 43
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 225% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Collectathon
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 462 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $5.0k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $38k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 23 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy older $39.99 14,211 92% 426k $17M (exactly $17,048,937) Toys for Bob, Iron Galaxy Studios
DRAGON QUEST MONSTERS: The Dark Prince older $39.99 1,158 71% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,389,253) Square Enix
Dragon Spirits older $9.99 289 86% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,613) FHNBHJ
Beasts of Maravilla Island older $9.99 256 84% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Banana Bird Studios, LLC
Dragon Spirits 2 older $13.99 137 84% 4.1k $57k (exactly $57,499) FHNBHJ
Tasty Planet: Final Bite $12.99 100 90% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) Dingo Games
Loot Hero DX older $2.99 338 71% 10k $30k (exactly $30,319) VaragtP
Dragon Forge older $9.99 72 38% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Legend Studio
Pet Lands $14.99 47 46% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Tbjbu2, Adria Martinez Exposito
Kit's Quest older $14.99 45 93% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) Lone Fox Games
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Familiar Findings $5.99 94 96% 2.8k $17k (exactly $16,892) Cliffa Games
AFKandia - Epoch of Idle $5.99 66 45% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,860) Yang++ Game Studio
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾
The Phoenix Gene VR $24.99 10 100% 300 $7.5k (exactly $7,497) HEROmation
DungeonSweeper $7.99 21 76% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Smoketree Studios
One more gem $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Cosmin Munteanu
Finding Dragons $2.99 19 89% 570 $1.7k (exactly $1,704) Akaizergames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.