Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Dinosaurs

Only 11 developers shipped a Dinosaur Collectathon game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Paleo Dive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $600. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.3k → $3.5k → $748 → $2.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $19,790)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 31
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Collectathon
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 102 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $19k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 17 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fossil Corner older $9.99 330 98% 9.9k $99k (exactly $98,901) Brady Soglin
Tropicalia: a Brazilian Game older $14.99 61 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Paulo Henrique Franqueira
Paleo Dive $19.99 33 84% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Astra Render
Cats and Seek: Dino Park older $1.99 226 99% 6.8k $13k (exactly $13,492) Noobzilla
Aery - Dreamscape older $9.99 24 91% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) EpiXR Games UG
Tribu older $9.99 21 66% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Iron Lizard Games
There's No Dinosaurs older $3.99 29 96% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Error 300
Jurassic Fantasy older $4.99 23 91% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) LGV
Morels: Out of this World $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Abrams Studios LLC
There's No Easter Eggs older $3.99 23 95% 690 $2.8k (exactly $2,753) Error 300
ErMa (Early Mammal) $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) AlmyriganHero
Reptilarium $7.99 11 72% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) PiqFocus Interactive
Dinosaurium $7.99 11 72% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) PiqFocus Interactive
Pocket Dinos · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Diesel Laws
Roxy Raccoon 3: Troubles in Time $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Sinomod Studios
DREAM WAVE'84 $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) John Pfeifer
Anzu $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Was Running Studio
Dino Quest $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) TPG Tecnologia

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.