Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Desktop Companion

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Desktop Companion?

Collectathon + Desktop Companion

Of 30 developers who shipped a Collectathon Desktop Companion in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×395 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 45 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 45 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Desktop Companion
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $52k → $27k → $2.3k (still earning) → $2.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Desktop Companion: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Median $6.6k (exactly $6,587)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,099)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $187,427)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 43
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Desktop Companion
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Desktop Companion; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Creature Collector
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 6,373 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $6.6k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 2 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fish to Dish: Idle Sushi $5.99 2,525 96% 76k $454k (exactly $453,742) Kygua Tech
My Little Life $5.99 1,043 89% 31k $187k (exactly $187,427) 9FingerGames
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
Chonkers $4.99 518 87% 16k $78k (exactly $77,545) Solar Eclipse Games
NoSlack Pets: Lo-Fi Paws $5.99 385 97% 12k $69k (exactly $69,184) Lynkpin Game
My Little Spider $4.99 389 94% 12k $58k (exactly $58,233) 9FingerGames, Fatal Fawn Games
Idle Waters $4.99 349 94% 10k $52k (exactly $52,245) Ignita Games
Nanomon Virtual Pet $14.99 113 88% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) Oscar Brittain
The Dream Globe $2.99 369 94% 11k $33k (exactly $33,099) Roaming of Little Hammer
Little Aviary $3.99 231 86% 6.9k $28k (exactly $27,651) atomco
Bit Buddy $1.99 451 99% 14k $27k (exactly $26,925) Salt Fish Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.