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Should I ship a Cyberpunk Collectathon game?
Collectathon + Cyberpunk
Of 22 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $56k, ×90 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,985) |
| Top 5% | $57k (exactly $56,662) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Cyberpunk
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Character Customization, Simulation, Crafting
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,859 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CICADAMATA" | $9.99 | 1,419 96% | 43k | $425k (exactly $425,274) | ✿ flowergarden | |
| | Tomomon | $14.99 | 126 70% | 3.8k | $57k (exactly $56,662) | ManicBuild Studio | |
| | Elvenfoundry | $34.99 | 46 67% | 1.4k | $48k (exactly $48,286) | SunbathGames | |
| | Lower? Higher! | $9.99 | 146 67% | 4.4k | $44k (exactly $43,756) | Unplugged Studio | |
| | SOULVARS | older | $16.99 | 70 78% | 2.1k | $36k (exactly $35,679) | ginolabo, SUCCESS Corp. |
| | RoadOut | $14.99 | 34 97% | 1.0k | $15k (exactly $15,290) | Rastrolabs Game Studio | |
| | Like No Other: The Legend Of The Twin Books | older | $15.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $13k (exactly $12,952) | Actoon Studio |
| | Package Runner | older | $9.99 | 30 86% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | Oddity |
| | Sexbot Lab | $5.99 | 50 56% | 1.5k | $9.0k (exactly $8,985) | AdultPlay | |
| | The Phoenix Gene VR | $24.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $7.5k (exactly $7,497) | HEROmation | |
| | Filtration | $19.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | Whirligig Studios | |
| | Triptych Book I: Blockhead | · EA | $13.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $2.5k (exactly $2,518) | Mords, Tootsie |
| | 32 SECS | $4.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $2.2k (exactly $2,246) | isTom Games Kft. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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