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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Runner?
Runner + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 18 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SPHERE ROLLER, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $446 (exactly $446) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) |
| Top 5% | $16k (exactly $16,497) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Runner
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Runner, Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Arcade, Physics
- Price point
- $2.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 217 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Runner with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + FPSLong shot
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + MusicPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Interactive FictionPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ALTF4 | older | $2.99 | 9,452 80% | 284k | $848k (exactly $847,844) | PUMPKIM |
| | SPHERE ROLLER | $49.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $16k (exactly $16,497) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Hobby Horse | $14.99 | 29 89% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | Games Incubator | |
| | Only Out | $4.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | Shark Studio | |
| | Gas Gas Rocket! | older | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Gamesforgames |
| | ZXC | $4.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | JJGames | |
| | Cave Explorer | older | $4.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $2.2k (exactly $2,246) | CnockCnock |
| | Vigaro Runner | older | $4.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software |
| | Dino running from a FURRY: GAMESFORFARM | $2.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) | Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm | |
| | Good Mourning | older | $2.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) | Platonic Partnership |
| | MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES | $0.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $1.0k (exactly $1,040) | Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel | |
| | Only Down: Gravitation Up | $0.99 | 33 96% | 990 | $980 (exactly $980) | Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel | |
| | Sweet Escape | $1.99 | 11 36% | 330 | $657 (exactly $657) | King Kong | |
| | Human Strange Dream | $16.00 | 1 0% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | ALK | |
| | Nice Pro? | $0.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $446 (exactly $446) | NicePro |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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