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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 14 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.0k, ×14 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1619 the market median. Revenue is up 545% on the market; 43 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) |
| Top 25% | $39k (exactly $38,674) |
| Top 5% | $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 545% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Interactive Fiction, Political Sim, Simulation
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,622 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian 2026 · $1.0M 
Politics The Game 2025 · $757k 
The Fermi Paradox 2021 · EA · $545k 
King Of The Castle 2023 · $420k 
Six Ages: Ride Like the Wind 2019 · $276k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian | $24.99 | 1,356 74% | 41k | $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) | Schisma Games | |
| | Politics The Game | $9.99 | 2,526 95% | 76k | $757k (exactly $757,042) | Simplicity Games | |
| | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
| | King Of The Castle | older | $9.99 | 1,403 90% | 42k | $420k (exactly $420,479) | Tributary Games |
| | Six Ages: Ride Like the Wind | older | $19.99 | 460 81% | 14k | $276k (exactly $275,862) | A Sharp |
 | Rise of Piracy | · EA | $15.99 | 520 77% | 16k | $249k (exactly $249,444) | IrishJohnGames |
 | Ambition: A Minuet in Power | older | $20.99 | 334 85% | 10k | $210k (exactly $210,320) | Joy Manufacturing Co. |
 | Crisis in the Kremlin | older | $4.99 | 1,372 83% | 41k | $205k (exactly $205,388) | Nostalgames |
 | China: Mao's legacy | older | $6.99 | 978 90% | 29k | $205k (exactly $205,087) | Nostalgames |
 | The Witch's Cauldron | older | $7.99 | 576 90% | 17k | $138k (exactly $138,067) | Harvey games |
 | Lunar Ascendant | $14.99 | 86 44% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Darts Games | |
 | Your Crown Is Mine | $18.99 | 34 82% | 1.0k | $19k (exactly $19,370) | Lyyycaena | |
 | CODE: PANDORA 2 | $9.99 | 35 74% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | Towndarktales | |
 | Donutal | $9.99 | 30 93% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | Arc System Works | |
 | My Liege | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | SugoiPenguin Gaming | |
 | Doctrine: C.U.L.T. | $4.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Miracles on a Stick | |
 | Overton | $14.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Casey Blase |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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