Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Choices Matter game?

Choices Matter + Zombies

Of 67 developers who shipped a Zombie Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1200 the market median. Revenue is up 440% on the market; 144 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 144 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $9.8k → $3.4k → $719 → $1.7k → $349 → $5.1k (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,593)
Top 5% $753k (exactly $753,448)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 212
Announced 144
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 28,153 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition older $59.99 164,914 79% 4.9M $297M (exactly $296,795,726) Techland
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series older $49.99 36,594 96% 1.1M $55M (exactly $54,880,022) Skybound Games
The Walking Dead older $14.99 53,650 97% 1.6M $24M (exactly $24,126,405) Telltale Games
The Walking Dead: Season Two older $14.99 26,848 96% 805k $12M (exactly $12,073,546) Telltale Games
The Walking Dead: The Final Season older $19.99 17,447 94% 523k $10M (exactly $10,462,966) Telltale Games
Quarantine Zone: The Last Check $19.99 11,827 81% 355k $7.1M (exactly $7,092,652) Brigada Games
The Walking Dead: A New Frontier older $14.99 15,482 83% 464k $7.0M (exactly $6,962,255) Telltale Games
Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days · EA $24.99 9,049 89% 271k $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) PikPok
The Walking Dead: Saints & Sinners older $19.99 7,603 85% 228k $4.6M (exactly $4,559,519) Skydance Interactive
Monster Prom older $11.99 12,245 93% 367k $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) Beautiful Glitch
After Inc: Revival $17.99 1,480 77% 44k $799k (exactly $798,756) Ndemic Creations
Echoes of the Living · EA $24.99 1,005 83% 30k $753k (exactly $753,448) MoonGlint Studio
GOD FORSAKEN $13.99 1,728 67% 52k $725k (exactly $725,242) insight studio
The Necromancer's Tale $24.99 921 91% 28k $690k (exactly $690,474) Psychic Software
Urban Strife $34.99 653 69% 20k $685k (exactly $685,454) White Pond Games
Sophie: The Girl From The Zone $14.99 547 87% 16k $246k (exactly $245,986) DavyCroquetteGame
Apocalypse with Femboy $12.99 439 89% 13k $171k (exactly $171,078) Pout Honey
桃色武林 $9.99 504 78% 15k $151k (exactly $151,049) 人型ですカオス

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.