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Should I ship a WWII Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + World War II
Only 17 developers shipped a WWII Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Company of Heroes 3: Final Stand, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $910k, ×1454 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) |
| Top 25% | $7.1k (exactly $7,130) |
| Top 5% | $913k (exactly $913,196) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 57 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- World War II
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tactical, Wargame
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 64% positive over 1,884 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Company of Heroes 3 | older | $59.99 | 24,516 59% | 735k | $44M (exactly $44,121,445) | Relic Entertainment |
| | Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™ | older | $9.99 | 6,039 90% | 181k | $1.8M (exactly $1,809,888) | Psyop |
| | Company of Heroes 3: Final Stand | $29.99 | 1,015 49% | 30k | $913k (exactly $913,196) | Relic Entertainment | |
| | Burden of Command™ | $24.99 | 628 83% | 19k | $471k (exactly $470,812) | Green Tree Games LLC | |
| | Broken Lines | older | $24.99 | 604 76% | 18k | $453k (exactly $452,819) | BirdIsland/PortaPlay |
| | Through the Darkest of Times | older | $14.99 | 778 85% | 23k | $350k (exactly $349,867) | Paintbucket Games |
| | Boat Crew | · EA older | $24.99 | 431 89% | 13k | $323k (exactly $323,121) | Tabbing Tabby |
| | My Child Lebensborn Remastered | older | $7.99 | 1,299 96% | 39k | $311k (exactly $311,370) | Teknopilot AS, Sarepta Studio AS |
| | Commandos 3 - HD Remaster | older | $19.99 | 326 60% | 9.8k | $196k (exactly $195,502) | Raylight Games |
| | B-17 Flying Fortress : The Mighty 8th Redux | · EA older | $14.99 | 341 65% | 10k | $153k (exactly $153,348) | MicroProse Software |
| | Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare | $39.99 | 92 60% | 2.8k | $110k (exactly $110,372) | Evil Twin Artworks | |
| | Dagger Froggy | $4.99 | 59 98% | 1.8k | $8.8k (exactly $8,832) | Solluco | |
| | Sinking The Boats | $6.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $7.1k (exactly $7,130) | 孟夏Mengxia | |
| | SGS Sealion | $24.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $6.0k (exactly $5,998) | Strategy Game Sudio | |
| | Get In Get Out | $3.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $1.7k (exactly $1,676) | Wessi | |
| | Operation Obliteration 2 | $14.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Oblit Gamewerks | |
| | Loop My Crank | $2.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | GameRoom3 Studio | |
| | War Untold | · EA | $1.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $1.0k (exactly $1,015) | Green Giraffe |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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