Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Choices Matter game?

Choices Matter + World War II

Only 17 developers shipped a WWII Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Company of Heroes 3: Final Stand, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $910k, ×1454 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $57k → $110k → $1.3k
Outcomes for Choices Matter + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $7.1k (exactly $7,130)
Top 5% $913k (exactly $913,196)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 57
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Choices Matter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tactical, Wargame
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 64% positive over 1,884 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $910k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Company of Heroes 3 older $59.99 24,516 59% 735k $44M (exactly $44,121,445) Relic Entertainment
Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™ older $9.99 6,039 90% 181k $1.8M (exactly $1,809,888) Psyop
Company of Heroes 3: Final Stand $29.99 1,015 49% 30k $913k (exactly $913,196) Relic Entertainment
Burden of Command™ $24.99 628 83% 19k $471k (exactly $470,812) Green Tree Games LLC
Broken Lines older $24.99 604 76% 18k $453k (exactly $452,819) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Through the Darkest of Times older $14.99 778 85% 23k $350k (exactly $349,867) Paintbucket Games
Boat Crew · EA older $24.99 431 89% 13k $323k (exactly $323,121) Tabbing Tabby
My Child Lebensborn Remastered older $7.99 1,299 96% 39k $311k (exactly $311,370) Teknopilot AS, Sarepta Studio AS
Commandos 3 - HD Remaster older $19.99 326 60% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Raylight Games
B-17 Flying Fortress : The Mighty 8th Redux · EA older $14.99 341 65% 10k $153k (exactly $153,348) MicroProse Software
Victory at Sea Atlantic - World War II Naval Warfare $39.99 92 60% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Evil Twin Artworks
Dagger Froggy $4.99 59 98% 1.8k $8.8k (exactly $8,832) Solluco
Sinking The Boats $6.99 34 94% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) 孟夏Mengxia
SGS Sealion $24.99 8 100% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Strategy Game Sudio
Get In Get Out $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wessi
Operation Obliteration 2 $14.99 3 0% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Oblit Gamewerks
Loop My Crank $2.99 14 42% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) GameRoom3 Studio
War Untold · EA $1.99 17 82% 510 $1.0k (exactly $1,015) Green Giraffe

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.