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Should I ship a Vampire Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Vampires
Of 40 developers who shipped a Vampire Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 93 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $20k, ×32 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×29927 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 93 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) |
|---|---|
| Median | $20k (exactly $19,787) |
| Top 25% | $104k (exactly $104,488) |
| Top 5% | $19M (exactly $18,794,267) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 40 |
| Released games | 115 |
| Announced | 93 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Vampires
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choose Your Own Adventure, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 31,022 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 93 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Blood of Dawnwalker | $69.99 | 15,789 86% | 474k | $33M (exactly $33,152,163) | Rebel Wolves | |
| | Vampyr | older | $39.99 | 20,081 77% | 602k | $24M (exactly $24,091,176) | DONTNOD Entertainment |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade® - Bloodlines™ 2 | $59.99 | 10,443 55% | 313k | $19M (exactly $18,794,267) | The Chinese Room | |
| | Banishers: Ghosts of New Eden | older | $49.99 | 6,429 84% | 193k | $9.6M (exactly $9,641,571) | DON'T NOD |
| | Monster Prom | older | $11.99 | 12,245 93% | 367k | $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) | Beautiful Glitch |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade - Coteries of New York | older | $19.99 | 2,279 74% | 68k | $1.4M (exactly $1,366,716) | Draw Distance |
| | Cabernet | $19.99 | 2,025 94% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) | Party for Introverts | |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade – Swansong | older | $49.99 | 561 65% | 17k | $841k (exactly $841,332) | Big Bad Wolf |
| | DRACU-RIOT! | $34.99 | 722 98% | 22k | $758k (exactly $757,883) | YUZUSOFT | |
| | Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds | older | $9.99 | 1,952 92% | 59k | $585k (exactly $585,014) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
| | Sex & Blood: Vampires | $9.99 | 759 71% | 23k | $227k (exactly $227,472) | Taboo Tales 💘 | |
| | The Seven Realms: High Lathión | $12.99 | 427 80% | 13k | $166k (exactly $166,402) | SeptCloud Games | |
| | Marisa of Liartop Mountain | $14.99 | 286 84% | 8.6k | $129k (exactly $128,614) | Alliance Arts, UnknownX | |
| | Erannorth Renaissance | $19.99 | 186 81% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Spyridon Thalassinos | |
| | Near-Mage | $19.99 | 180 89% | 5.4k | $108k (exactly $107,946) | Stuck In Attic | |
| | Suck Up! | $16.99 | 205 62% | 6.2k | $104k (exactly $104,488) | Proxima |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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