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Should I ship a Werewolf Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Werewolves
Only 13 developers shipped a Werewolf Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Seven Realms: High Lathión, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×350 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) |
| Top 25% | $32k (exactly $32,237) |
| Top 5% | $166k (exactly $166,402) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Werewolves
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choose Your Own Adventure, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Episodic, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,451 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.9k. 3 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Raging Loop 2017 · $9.5M 
Virgo Versus The Zodiac 2019 · $474k 
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest 2020 · $362k 
The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran 2022 · $212k 
The Seven Realms: High Lathión 2024 · $166k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Raging Loop | older | $29.99 | 10,568 95% | 317k | $9.5M (exactly $9,508,030) | KEMCO |
| | Virgo Versus The Zodiac | older | $19.99 | 790 92% | 24k | $474k (exactly $473,763) | Moonana |
| | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest | older | $14.99 | 805 83% | 24k | $362k (exactly $362,008) | Different Tales |
| | The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran | older | $9.99 | 708 81% | 21k | $212k (exactly $212,188) | SeptCloud Games |
| | The Seven Realms: High Lathión | $12.99 | 427 80% | 13k | $166k (exactly $166,402) | SeptCloud Games | |
 | Werewolf: The Apocalypse — The Book of Hungry Names | older | $19.99 | 234 92% | 7.0k | $140k (exactly $140,330) | Choice of Games |
 | Changeling Tale | older | $19.99 | 218 98% | 6.5k | $131k (exactly $130,735) | Helmet Fox |
 | Monster College | $9.99 | 435 95% | 13k | $130k (exactly $130,370) | Monster Eye Games | |
 | When The Night Comes | older | $12.99 | 289 92% | 8.7k | $113k (exactly $112,623) | Lunaris Games |
 | Break Wolf | $11.99 | 171 98% | 5.1k | $62k (exactly $61,509) | RE Atelier | |
 | A College of Thirst & Claws | · EA | $11.99 | 117 73% | 3.5k | $42k (exactly $42,085) | SeptCloud Games |
 | Hunter: The Reckoning — The Beast of Glenkildove | $11.99 | 108 91% | 3.2k | $39k (exactly $38,848) | Choice of Games | |
 | Successor | $24.99 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $32k (exactly $32,237) | Playwood Project | |
 | Hunter: The Reckoning — A Time of Monsters | $14.99 | 63 80% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $28,331) | Choice of Games | |
 | Bloodcrave | $14.99 | 44 72% | 1.3k | $20k (exactly $19,787) | Blue Fiend Studios | |
 | Werewolves 3: Evolution's End | $8.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $8.4k (exactly $8,361) | Choice of Games | |
 | Dolven | $19.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Covyne Entertainment, The Kids From Yes… (Covyne Entertainment, The Kids From Yesterday) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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