Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Typing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Typing game?

Choices Matter + Typing

Of 43 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Typing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×798 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 71 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 71 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Typing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $359 → $3.6k → $897 → $23k → $3.9k → $899 (still earning) → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Typing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,084)
Top 5% $379k (exactly $379,010)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 89
Announced 71
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Typing
effort 1 / 10 · high · keyboard input against a word list

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Typing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Multiple Endings
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Text-Based
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 12,194 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hacknet older $9.99 16,910 93% 507k $5.1M (exactly $5,067,927) Team Fractal Alligator
Homicipher $13.99 7,821 96% 235k $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) 八名木Games
Emily is Away <3 older $9.99 6,036 91% 181k $1.8M (exactly $1,808,989) Kyle Seeley
Home Safety Hotline older $14.99 2,763 90% 83k $1.2M (exactly $1,242,521) Night Signal Entertainment
S4U: CITYPUNK 2011 AND LOVE PUNCH $13.99 2,324 90% 70k $975k (exactly $975,383) U0U Games
7 Days to End with You older $7.99 3,327 87% 100k $797k (exactly $797,482) Lizardry
Kind Words 2 (lofi city pop) $19.99 632 92% 19k $379k (exactly $379,010) Popcannibal
MINDHACK · EA older $12.99 712 93% 21k $277k (exactly $277,466) VODKAdemo?
Anomalous Coffee Machine 2 $6.99 753 81% 23k $158k (exactly $157,904) HoruBrain Interactive
Sofia in Exchange for Lies $25.99 164 81% 4.9k $128k (exactly $127,871) MUTAN, storynote
Millennium Whisper · EA $11.99 82 64% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) Parable Studios
Cyber Warrior $19.99 39 84% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dunke Games
The Carcass $9.99 76 26% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) PiqFocus Interactive
S-mail $2.50 286 90% 8.6k $21k (exactly $21,450) S-mail制作组
Hermes Library $15.99 17 88% 510 $8.2k (exactly $8,155) SoaringHeart

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.