Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Twin Stick Shooter?

Choices Matter + Twin Stick Shooter

Of 25 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Twin Stick Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×4463 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 45 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Twin Stick Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $17k → $360 → $6.5k → $21k → $11k → $300 (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Twin Stick Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,773)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,119,940)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 67
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Twin Stick Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Twin Stick Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 12,563 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Rogue: Genesia 2025 · $3.6M Hell Clock 2025 · $2.1M The Knight Witch 2022 · $386k Full Mojo Rampage 2014 · $204k Titan Attacks! 2012 · $196k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rogue: Genesia $14.99 8,111 90% 243k $3.6M (exactly $3,647,517) Ouadi Huard
Hell Clock $19.99 3,535 82% 106k $2.1M (exactly $2,119,940) Rogue Snail
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Full Mojo Rampage older $12.99 524 85% 16k $204k (exactly $204,203) Over the Top Games
Titan Attacks! older $9.99 654 92% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) Puppygames
Artifact Seeker: Resurrection older $8.99 725 79% 22k $196k (exactly $195,532) Lynkpin Game
Batora: Lost Haven older $24.99 211 73% 6.3k $158k (exactly $158,187) Stormind Games
Lake of Creatures $12.49 354 92% 11k $133k (exactly $132,644) ANTENNA GAMES
Ira older $19.99 140 75% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) ABShot
#KILLALLZOMBIES older $9.99 258 78% 7.7k $77k (exactly $77,323) Fortell Games
9th Sentinel Sisters $7.99 273 69% 8.2k $65k (exactly $65,438) Live Wire
Memory Lost $19.99 53 92% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Magic Hazard
Horde Hunters $6.99 99 86% 3.0k $21k (exactly $20,760) Antti Vaihia
Arcane Tower Survivors $3.99 90 75% 2.7k $11k (exactly $10,773) Red Horde Games
Bad Pixels · EA $11.99 22 95% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Dadako
Blood in the Panopticon $12.99 15 100% 450 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) SIS STYLE INTERACTIVE
A Duel Hand Disaster: Trackher $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Ask An Enemy Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.