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Should I ship a Transhumanist Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Transhumanism
Of 22 developers who shipped a Transhumanist Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.8k, ×7.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.3M, ×11358 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 65 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.8k (exactly $3,776) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,994) |
| Top 5% | $5.4M (exactly $5,394,841) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 59 |
| Announced | 65 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Transhumanism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Roguelike, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Text-Based, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 19,461 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action | older | $14.99 | 33,838 97% | 1.0M | $15M (exactly $15,216,949) | Sukeban Games |
| | Caves of Qud | $29.99 | 11,892 94% | 357k | $11M (exactly $10,699,232) | Freehold Games | |
| | Quasimorph | $24.99 | 7,196 82% | 216k | $5.4M (exactly $5,394,841) | Magnum Scriptum | |
| | Nobody Wants to Die | older | $24.99 | 5,818 83% | 175k | $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) | Critical Hit Games |
| | Paradise Lost | older | $14.99 | 1,469 67% | 44k | $661k (exactly $660,609) | PolyAmorous |
| | Cockwork Industries Complete | older | $9.99 | 864 76% | 26k | $259k (exactly $258,941) | Digital Seductions |
| | Re-Legion | older | $9.99 | 200 62% | 6.0k | $60k (exactly $59,940) | Ice Code Games |
| | Ceiba | older | $6.99 | 255 94% | 7.7k | $53k (exactly $53,474) | Wirion, 7DOTS |
| | Vampire: The Masquerade — Sins of the Sires | older | $11.99 | 143 39% | 4.3k | $51k (exactly $51,437) | Choice of Games |
| | The Library of Babel | older | $18.99 | 61 70% | 1.8k | $35k (exactly $34,752) | Tanuki Game Studio |
| | KUUKIYOMI: Consider It World - Thailand Ver. | $9.99 | 107 98% | 3.2k | $32k (exactly $32,068) | Urnique Studio | |
| | Songs of Rats | $14.99 | 50 78% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,485) | Tesseract Games | |
| | 春はあけぼの、我はバケモノ。 - Spring at Dawn, I Am a Monster. | $9.99 | 75 64% | 2.3k | $22k (exactly $22,478) | CHARON, STUDIO CHARON | |
| | Veins Like Tapeworms | $19.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | AwesomeTrinket | |
| | The Queen of Phalli | $9.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,688) | Labor of Love | |
| | Holonoptic | $19.95 | 16 93% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,576) | Glazial | |
| | Project Looking Glass | $4.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | MORPH | |
| | Imago Season | $9.50 | 19 89% | 570 | $5.4k (exactly $5,415) | Lunar Finch |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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