Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Choices Matter game?

Choices Matter + Time Travel

Of 49 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×6.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×699 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 89 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 89 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $14k → $1.4k → $9.7k → $5.3k → $19k → $600 (still earning) → $4.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,583)
Top 5% $332k (exactly $332,234)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 138
Announced 89
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Comedy, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 5,290 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Quantum Break older $39.99 23,141 86% 694k $28M (exactly $27,762,258) Remedy Entertainment
STEINS;GATE older $29.99 25,289 97% 759k $23M (exactly $22,752,513) MAGES. Inc.
Life is Strange: Before the Storm older $16.99 33,504 93% 1.0M $17M (exactly $17,076,989) Deck Nine, Feral Interactive (Mac), Fer… (Deck Nine, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Life is Strange Remastered older $39.99 9,187 91% 276k $11M (exactly $11,021,644) Deck Nine
Raging Loop older $29.99 10,568 95% 317k $9.5M (exactly $9,508,030) KEMCO
The Forgotten City older $24.99 11,159 96% 335k $8.4M (exactly $8,365,902) Modern Storyteller
STEINS;GATE 0 older $34.99 7,916 95% 237k $8.3M (exactly $8,309,425) MAGES. Inc.
Zero Escape: The Nonary Games older $29.99 7,007 92% 210k $6.3M (exactly $6,304,198) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Twelve Minutes older $24.99 7,408 73% 222k $5.6M (exactly $5,553,778) Luis Antonio
In Stars And Time older $19.99 7,835 97% 235k $4.7M (exactly $4,698,650) insertdisc5
STEINS;GATE RE:BOOT $59.99 594 88% 18k $1.1M (exactly $1,069,022) MAGES. Inc.
Rue Valley $14.99 1,905 69% 57k $857k (exactly $856,678) Emotion Spark Studio
The Posthumous Investigation $19.99 554 94% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Mother Gaia Studio
Sexbot $14.99 723 86% 22k $325k (exactly $325,133) Llamamann Games
My Fav Chill Streamer Dies a Million Times|ゆるゆる生配信する推しは100万回死ぬ $34.99 114 92% 3.4k $120k (exactly $119,666) VELUX STUDIO
Carpet Cleaning Simulator $6.99 508 87% 15k $107k (exactly $106,528) daimaGAME
Mech Academy $9.99 214 91% 6.4k $64k (exactly $64,136) Space Samurai Studio
PROJECT TACHYON $17.99 117 83% 3.5k $63k (exactly $63,145) STUDIO N9
Time Space Rebuild $4.99 377 76% 11k $56k (exactly $56,437) INNOVATION DREAM
Train and Tame $9.99 184 65% 5.5k $55k (exactly $55,145) Tames Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.