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Should I ship a Superhero Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Superhero
Only 16 developers shipped a Superhero Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dispatch, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.0k, ×6.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $150M, ×104879 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.3k (exactly $2,338) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) |
| Top 25% | $22k (exactly $21,741) |
| Top 5% | $157M (exactly $157,109,213) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 67 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Superhero
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Comedy, Funny
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 97% positive over 175,327 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Dispatch 2025 · $157M 
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy 2021 · $64M 
Batman - The Telltale Series 2016 · $6.8M 
Batman: The Enemy Within - The Telltale Series 2017 · $4.0M 
Dustborn 2024 · $520k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dispatch | $29.99 | 174,624 97% | 5.2M | $157M (exactly $157,109,213) | AdHoc Studio | |
| | Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy | older | $59.99 | 35,397 93% | 1.1M | $64M (exactly $63,703,981) | Eidos-Montréal |
| | Batman - The Telltale Series | older | $14.99 | 15,060 87% | 452k | $6.8M (exactly $6,772,482) | Telltale |
| | Batman: The Enemy Within - The Telltale Series | older | $14.99 | 8,877 92% | 266k | $4.0M (exactly $3,991,987) | Telltale |
| | Dustborn | older | $29.99 | 578 70% | 17k | $520k (exactly $520,027) | Red Thread Games |
 | Meteor World Actor: Badge & Dagger | older | $17.99 | 355 88% | 11k | $192k (exactly $191,593) | Heliodor |
 | Invincible Presents: Atom Eve | older | $9.99 | 550 96% | 17k | $165k (exactly $164,835) | Terrible Posture Games |
 | Fallen Hero: Retribution | older | $11.99 | 415 97% | 12k | $149k (exactly $149,276) | Hosted Games |
 | Solas City Heroes | older | $19.99 | 179 88% | 5.4k | $107k (exactly $107,346) | Skyflare Studios, MrZGames |
 | Fallen Hero: Rebirth | older | $6.99 | 459 96% | 14k | $96k (exactly $96,252) | Hosted Games |
 | Villain's Legacy | $9.99 | 294 82% | 8.8k | $88k (exactly $88,112) | Mad scientist lab | |
 | Origin Story - Season 1 | $12.99 | 173 93% | 5.2k | $67k (exactly $67,418) | JDOR | |
 | Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse | $24.99 | 29 96% | 870 | $22k (exactly $21,741) | Viral Studios | |
 | The Magical girl Childhood friend lives Next Door | $9.99 | 39 82% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,688) | Waving.Inc | |
 | Criminally Yours | $4.99 | 75 92% | 2.3k | $11k (exactly $11,228) | Meant to Bee Studios | |
 | Rabbiman Adventures | $14.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) | ISRACHEM LTD | |
 | Man of Steal (Nymphs) | $14.99 | 20 50% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Nymphs | |
 | Heroes of Tomorrow: Hidden Potential | $7.99 | 32 75% | 960 | $7.7k (exactly $7,670) | Choice of Games | |
 | Villain's Legacy 2 | · EA | $9.99 | 20 50% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | Mad scientist lab |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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