Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Spelling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Spelling game?

Choices Matter + Spelling

Only 11 developers shipped a Choices Matter Spelling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beyond Words, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×5.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $45k, ×97 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Spelling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Choices Matter + Spelling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $958 (exactly $958)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,850)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $45,869)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Spelling
effort 1 / 10 · high · effort 1 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Spelling
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 375 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Writer's Rush older $5.99 402 74% 12k $72k (exactly $72,239) Frogstorm
Beyond Words $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) MindFuel Games
TypInc. $9.99 102 74% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Game Game Games
Watchword $13.99 33 90% 990 $14k (exactly $13,850) Big Quail Games
Detective Worden $4.99 54 85% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Domestic Black Cat
Horizons: The End Of Words $5.99 33 87% 990 $5.9k (exactly $5,930) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
PAGO FOREST: DRAGON'S REVENGE older $5.99 24 100% 720 $4.3k (exactly $4,313) Futurtech
Dicey Words $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) _Taralis
ROGLE older $4.99 9 55% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) F.L.O.G.
NO WAY OUT:Prison $4.79 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,150) Co's Studios
Trivia Tycoon $3.99 8 75% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Jasper Labs
Unstimulated Simulator $0.99 18 100% 540 $535 (exactly $535) Shotsy Enterprise
Hang Tight $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) FatGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.