Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Solitaire game?

Choices Matter + Solitaire

Of 40 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Solitaire game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 23 developers shipped in the last year and 36 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 36 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $416 → $1.7k → $539 → $1.4k → $0 → $60 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $2.0k (exactly $2,030)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,073)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 90
Announced 36
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Solitaire; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Deckbuilding
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 723 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Zachtronics Solitaire Collection older $9.99 939 98% 28k $281k (exactly $281,418) Zachtronics
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Roll older $4.99 407 91% 12k $61k (exactly $60,928) Joseph Distler
Fine Sweeper older $5.99 270 88% 8.1k $49k (exactly $48,519) Pixel Prophecy
Lenin - The Lion older $11.99 102 90% 3.1k $37k (exactly $36,689) Lornyon
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
Pro Strategy Football 2023 older $14.99 71 84% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2022 older $12.99 81 86% 2.4k $32k (exactly $31,566) Kerry Batts
Arcana Academy $14.99 67 71% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) 2A Studio
Pro Strategy Football 2024 older $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Kerry Batts
Cribbish $4.99 65 81% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Fence Post Games
Wrangle Ranch $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) BenBonk, XraiDev
Pro Strategy Football 2027 $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kerry Batts
Card Rogue $4.99 22 63% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Game Tsukuru Kun
Royal's Gambit $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) 96 Games Studio
Picaro $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Nightforge Studios
XIII - A Final Game of Tarot With Death $1.99 34 91% 1.0k $2.0k (exactly $2,030) Indigo Dreams

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.