Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Puzzle Platformer?

Choices Matter + Puzzle Platformer

Of 106 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 149 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 50 developers shipped in the last year and 149 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 149 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 106
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $299 → $358 → $897 → $150 → $179 → $89 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 106
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $31,138)
Developers, 2 yr 106
Released games 308
Announced 149
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Funny, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 6,972 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 149 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chained Together older $4.99 54,747 89% 1.6M $8.2M (exactly $8,195,626) Anegar Games, Lab42
Catherine Classic older $19.99 8,858 88% 266k $5.3M (exactly $5,312,143) ATLUS
Sable older $24.99 5,365 86% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) Shedworks
Reventure older $12.34 8,451 95% 254k $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) Pixelatto
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
Vanity Fair: The Pursuit older $6.99 4,014 87% 120k $842k (exactly $841,736) 木焱工作室
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
Lakeview Cabin Collection older $9.99 1,599 94% 48k $479k (exactly $479,220) Roope Tamminen
Lost Words: Beyond the Page older $14.99 637 94% 19k $286k (exactly $286,459) Sketchbook Developments, Fourth State,… (Sketchbook Developments, Fourth State, Sketchbook Games)
PEPPERED: an existential platformer $14.99 603 96% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Mostly Games
Cursed Armor 2 $15.99 236 84% 7.1k $113k (exactly $113,209) wolfgame
OFFERING APP $19.99 70 81% 2.1k $42k (exactly $41,979) KESHA WHITE
DEVIL'S WAY $4.99 208 45% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) Rose Game Studio
Turnip Mountain $10.49 78 97% 2.3k $25k (exactly $24,547) Luke Sanderson
Escaping Wonderland $19.99 32 87% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Cortopia Studios
Darkway: Murder of King Mere $7.99 78 97% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) IM/MORTAL Studios, Pierce Papke / Ekpap
Blueberry $12.49 34 100% 1.0k $13k (exactly $12,740) MELLOW Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.