Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Precision Platformer?

Choices Matter + Precision Platformer

Of 52 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 21 developers shipped in the last year and 46 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 46 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $599 → $119 → $449 → $809 → $359 → $150 (still earning) → $733 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,148)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $102,981)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 106
Announced 46
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.49 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 5,740 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien 2013 · $733k Fever Meme 2025 · $549k PEPPERED: an existential platformer 2025 · $271k The Game of Sisyphus 2024 · $155k Rocket Boots Mania 2025 · $103k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien older $14.99 1,630 93% 49k $733k (exactly $733,011) Gaijin Games
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
PEPPERED: an existential platformer $14.99 603 96% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Mostly Games
The Game of Sisyphus older $6.99 741 79% 22k $155k (exactly $155,388) cream
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Time Loader older $7.99 387 83% 12k $93k (exactly $92,764) Flazm
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
Super Cable Boy older $14.99 84 97% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Sørb
LOVE 3 older $9.99 114 96% 3.4k $34k (exactly $34,166) Fred Wood
Soulless: Ray Of Hope older $4.99 208 71% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) ·
Turnip Mountain $10.49 78 97% 2.3k $25k (exactly $24,547) Luke Sanderson
Free For Fall $7.99 44 81% 1.3k $11k (exactly $10,547) Baboon Digital, Hamuno
Handstand Hank $4.99 65 95% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Michael Fischer
Fall Again $4.99 62 72% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Muffin
Stick Tongue $4.99 58 98% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,683) Hunt Games
Duck and the Land of Flightless Birds $7.99 23 100% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) OM Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.