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Should I ship a Choices Matter Otome?
Choices Matter + Otome
Of 77 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Otome in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 171 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×313 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 171 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,581) |
| Top 5% | $148k (exactly $148,450) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 77 |
| Released games | 310 |
| Announced | 171 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Otome
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter, Otome; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Multiple Endings, Dating Sim
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 9,475 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 8 in 10 of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 171 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Homicipher 2024 · $3.3M 
DRAMAtical Murder 2021 · $2.8M 
私のリアルは充実しすぎている フルボイス版 2022 · $1.6M 
BUSTAFELLOWS 2021 · $1.2M 
My Vow to My Liege 2020 · $1.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Homicipher | $13.99 | 7,821 96% | 235k | $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) | 八名木Games | |
| | DRAMAtical Murder | older | $19.99 | 4,640 96% | 139k | $2.8M (exactly $2,782,608) | Nitro+CHiRAL |
| | 私のリアルは充実しすぎている フルボイス版 | older | $9.99 | 5,322 96% | 160k | $1.6M (exactly $1,595,003) | TetraScope |
| | BUSTAFELLOWS | older | $39.99 | 968 86% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,161,310) | NIPPON CULTURAL BROADCASTING EXTEND INC. |
| | My Vow to My Liege | older | $9.99 | 3,844 91% | 115k | $1.2M (exactly $1,152,047) | YETU GAME |
 | Amnesia™: Memories | older | $9.99 | 3,721 92% | 112k | $1.1M (exactly $1,115,184) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
 | 7'scarlet | older | $29.99 | 796 74% | 24k | $716k (exactly $716,161) | IDEA FACTORY, TOYBOX |
 | OZMAFIA!! | older | $34.99 | 608 80% | 18k | $638k (exactly $638,218) | Poni-Pachet SY |
 | Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds | older | $9.99 | 1,952 92% | 59k | $585k (exactly $585,014) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
 | Dandelion - Wishes brought to you - | older | $29.99 | 640 85% | 19k | $576k (exactly $575,808) | Sujin Ri, Marcos Arroyo, Seona Lee, Som… (Sujin Ri, Marcos Arroyo, Seona Lee, Somi Lee, Sohyeon Jeon) |
 | Meiji Tokyo Renka Full Moon | $59.99 | 196 91% | 5.9k | $353k (exactly $352,741) | dramatic create | |
 | The Silent Kingdom | · EA | $17.99 | 290 99% | 8.7k | $157k (exactly $156,513) | Lucky Cat |
 | Arcadia Fallen II | $29.99 | 165 98% | 5.0k | $148k (exactly $148,450) | Galdra Studios | |
 | Velvet Bite: Softly, with Teeth | $39.99 | 84 54% | 2.5k | $101k (exactly $100,775) | EVERIUM | |
 | High Times | $19.99 | 163 90% | 4.9k | $98k (exactly $97,751) | Yangyang Mobile | |
 | lovebyte.exe | · EA | $11.99 | 253 96% | 7.6k | $91k (exactly $91,004) | Nochi Studios |
 | Sigh of the Abyss | $17.99 | 164 96% | 4.9k | $89k (exactly $88,511) | Rascal Devworks | |
 | Our Red String | · EA | $19.99 | 134 97% | 4.0k | $80k (exactly $80,360) | Eva Kiss |
 | The World Well: Blood of Caro | $11.99 | 205 85% | 6.2k | $74k (exactly $73,738) | Nimparth |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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