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Should I ship a Nature Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Nature
Of 131 developers who shipped a Nature Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 254 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×139 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 254 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $718 (exactly $718) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) |
| Top 5% | $66k (exactly $65,934) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 131 |
| Released games | 311 |
| Announced | 254 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 9,273 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 65 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 254 games are announced against 77 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Ancestors: The Humankind Odyssey 2020 · $12M 
Lost Records: Bloom & Rage 2025 · $7.0M 
Endling - Extinction is Forever 2022 · $2.6M 
Shelter 2 2015 · $2.5M 
LumenTale: Memories of Trey 2026 · $847k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ancestors: The Humankind Odyssey | older | $39.99 | 9,794 81% | 294k | $12M (exactly $11,749,862) | Panache Digital Games |
| | Lost Records: Bloom & Rage | $39.99 | 5,873 86% | 176k | $7.0M (exactly $7,045,838) | DON'T NOD | |
| | Endling - Extinction is Forever | older | $29.99 | 2,890 94% | 87k | $2.6M (exactly $2,600,133) | Herobeat Studios |
| | Shelter 2 | older | $24.99 | 3,378 87% | 101k | $2.5M (exactly $2,532,487) | Might and Delight |
| | LumenTale: Memories of Trey | $24.99 | 1,130 70% | 34k | $847k (exactly $847,161) | Beehive Studios | |
 | Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator | older | $24.99 | 1,033 77% | 31k | $774k (exactly $774,440) | Broken Arms Games |
 | Insurmountable | older | $24.99 | 832 78% | 25k | $624k (exactly $623,750) | ByteRockers' Games |
 | Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 | $29.99 | 521 86% | 16k | $469k (exactly $468,744) | Digixart | |
 | Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season | older | $39.99 | 354 94% | 11k | $425k (exactly $424,694) | BLits Games |
 | A Highland Song | older | $17.99 | 553 87% | 17k | $298k (exactly $298,454) | inkle Ltd |
 | The Beekeeper's Picnic - A Sherlockian Adventure | $13.99 | 467 97% | 14k | $196k (exactly $196,000) | The Wonder Room | |
 | Two Falls (Nishu Takuatshina) | $19.99 | 151 90% | 4.5k | $91k (exactly $90,555) | Unreliable Narrators | |
 | Ash & Adam's Existential Treads | $6.99 | 340 92% | 10k | $71k (exactly $71,298) | Ash & Adam's Games | |
 | Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game | $9.99 | 220 96% | 6.6k | $66k (exactly $65,934) | DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC | |
 | Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕 | $14.99 | 121 69% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $54,414) | Lewd Star | |
 | Garbage Growth | $4.99 | 350 91% | 11k | $52k (exactly $52,395) | apepatrickdev | |
 | SEXNATURAL: MILFs Must Be Filled 😈💦 | $14.99 | 100 84% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,970) | Juicy Peach Games 🍑 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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