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Should I ship a Mech Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Mechs
Only 15 developers shipped a Mech Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Forever Winter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.5k, ×5.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $19M, ×30624 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $480 (exactly $480) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) |
| Top 25% | $64k (exactly $64,136) |
| Top 5% | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Mechs
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choices Matter
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 23,072 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
The Forever Winter 2024 · EA · $19M 
Baldr Sky 2019 · $2.3M 
LEFT ALIVE™ 2019 · $1.1M 
ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE 2020 · $733k 
Mech Armada 2022 · $392k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Forever Winter | · EA | $29.99 | 21,376 68% | 641k | $19M (exactly $19,231,987) | Fun Dog Studios |
| | Baldr Sky | older | $49.99 | 1,524 93% | 46k | $2.3M (exactly $2,285,543) | Sekai Project |
| | LEFT ALIVE™ | older | $59.99 | 622 31% | 19k | $1.1M (exactly $1,119,413) | Square Enix |
| | ROBOTICS;NOTES ELITE | older | $34.99 | 698 90% | 21k | $733k (exactly $732,691) | MAGES. Inc. |
| | Mech Armada | older | $19.99 | 653 81% | 20k | $392k (exactly $391,604) | Lioncode Games |
 | Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog | $14.99 | 843 90% | 25k | $379k (exactly $379,097) | Space Colony Studios | |
 | ALTDEUS: Beyond Chronos | older | $29.99 | 379 95% | 11k | $341k (exactly $340,986) | MyDearest Inc. |
 | Heaven Will Be Mine | older | $14.99 | 709 92% | 21k | $319k (exactly $318,837) | Pillow Fight, Worst Girls Games |
 | BE-A Walker | older | $9.99 | 651 72% | 20k | $195k (exactly $195,105) | Tequilabyte Studio |
 | 9th Sentinel Sisters | $7.99 | 273 69% | 8.2k | $65k (exactly $65,438) | Live Wire | |
 | Mech Academy | $9.99 | 214 91% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $64,136) | Space Samurai Studio | |
 | Bonaparte - A Mechanized Revolution | $24.99 | 72 68% | 2.2k | $54k (exactly $53,978) | Studio Imugi | |
 | Slyders | $9.99 | 162 85% | 4.9k | $49k (exactly $48,551) | Kato Games | |
 | Genesis Survivors | · EA | $4.99 | 107 69% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $16,018) | Aeternum Game Studios S.L |
 | Starbug Troopers : The 4 horseflies of the apocalypse | $8.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Big Loot Games | |
 | Triptych Book I: Blockhead | · EA | $13.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $2.5k (exactly $2,518) | Mords, Tootsie |
 | STEEL SERAPHIM: PROVING GROUNDS | $6.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | TYPE THREE INDUSTRIES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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