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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Martial Arts
Of 25 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.5k, ×8.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2721 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 47 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.5k (exactly $5,539) |
| Top 25% | $79k (exactly $78,718) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 60 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Multiple Endings, RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Emotional
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $20.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 11,928 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Path Of Wuxia 2022 · $30M 
Legend of Mortal 2024 · $20M 
Xuan-Yuan Sword VII 2020 · $8.9M 
江湖十一 2023 · $2.9M 
The World of Kungfu: Dragon and Eagle 2024 · $2.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Path Of Wuxia | older | $34.99 | 28,286 78% | 849k | $30M (exactly $29,691,814) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Legend of Mortal | older | $19.99 | 33,730 77% | 1.0M | $20M (exactly $20,227,881) | Obb Studio Inc. |
| | Xuan-Yuan Sword VII | older | $34.99 | 8,490 62% | 255k | $8.9M (exactly $8,911,953) | SOFTSTAR, DOMO Studio |
| | 江湖十一 | older | $17.99 | 5,385 42% | 162k | $2.9M (exactly $2,906,284) | 万象皆春 |
| | The World of Kungfu: Dragon and Eagle | $17.99 | 4,595 67% | 138k | $2.5M (exactly $2,479,922) | ChillyRoom | |
 | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
 | Beast Saga | $20.99 | 2,714 80% | 81k | $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006) | 嘉兴黑曜石(Jiaxing Obsidian) | |
 | 风信楼 | older | $11.99 | 3,423 94% | 103k | $1.2M (exactly $1,231,253) | Pingfang Games |
 | Jade Empire™: Special Edition | older | $14.99 | 1,887 76% | 57k | $849k (exactly $848,584) | BioWare |
 | 再见断刀 | $9.99 | 2,563 92% | 77k | $768k (exactly $768,131) | 非侠游戏 | |
 | 轮回修仙传 | $4.99 | 1,085 81% | 33k | $162k (exactly $162,424) | Collider Studio | |
 | Tales of Justice Academy: Winds Arise | $10.99 | 460 71% | 14k | $152k (exactly $151,662) | 九芽川 Ninth Leaf | |
 | Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One | $13.99 | 201 90% | 6.0k | $84k (exactly $84,360) | SeanchaiStudios | |
 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City | $24.99 | 105 76% | 3.2k | $79k (exactly $78,718) | Cortopia Studios | |
 | Lilith Rising - Season 2 | $7.99 | 116 66% | 3.5k | $28k (exactly $27,805) | Jubei Games | |
 | Valhalla: Lilith Rising | $12.99 | 53 79% | 1.6k | $21k (exactly $20,654) | Jubei Games | |
 | Corner King: Boxing Tycoon | $16.99 | 36 94% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $18,349) | Temporal Lure |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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