Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Local Multiplayer game?

Choices Matter + Local Multiplayer

Of 34 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×420 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 61 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 61 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $58k → $298 → $16k → $0 → $899 → $807 (still earning) → $26k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,198)
Top 5% $200k (exactly $199,700)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 124
Announced 61
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Local Multiplayer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Sports, Immersive Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 1,773 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $840, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan older $19.99 9,244 76% 277k $5.5M (exactly $5,543,627) Supermassive Games
Catherine Classic older $19.99 8,858 88% 266k $5.3M (exactly $5,312,143) ATLUS
Pyre older $19.99 8,396 90% 252k $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) Supergiant Games
Monster Prom older $11.99 12,245 93% 367k $4.4M (exactly $4,404,526) Beautiful Glitch
Ember Knights older $19.99 6,065 93% 182k $3.6M (exactly $3,637,180) Doom Turtle
Tales of Symphonia older $19.99 4,368 85% 131k $2.6M (exactly $2,619,490) BANDAI NAMCO Entertainment Inc.
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Fight'N Rage older $19.99 2,557 92% 77k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,433) sebagamesdev
THE GAME OF LIFE 2 older $12.49 3,702 78% 111k $1.4M (exactly $1,387,139) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Star Control®: Origins older $19.99 2,067 74% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,239,580) Stardock Entertainment
CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS $59.99 330 50% 9.9k $594k (exactly $593,901) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Class of '09: Puzzle Showdown $19.99 333 57% 10k $200k (exactly $199,700) SBN3
Pure Badminton $19.99 323 81% 9.7k $194k (exactly $193,703) DS SOFT
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Franchise Hockey Manager 11 $19.99 148 70% 4.4k $89k (exactly $88,756) game54 Software, Out of the Park Develo… (game54 Software, Out of the Park Developments)
Franchise Hockey Manager 12 $19.99 132 78% 4.0k $79k (exactly $79,160) game54 Software, Out of the Park Develo… (game54 Software, Out of the Park Developments)
Axis Football 2026 $19.99 115 75% 3.5k $69k (exactly $68,966) Axis Games
Fallacy Quiz $14.99 88 88% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Tim Krief
Axis Football 2027 $19.99 44 72% 1.3k $26k (exactly $26,387) Axis Games
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.