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Should I ship a Horse Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Horses
Only 9 developers shipped a Horse Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Saloon Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×780 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,615) |
| Top 5% | $490k (exactly $489,942) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Horses
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choices Matter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 145,304 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2018 · $129M 
Saloon Simulator 2025 · EA · $490k 
Lyndaria: Lust Adventure 2024 · $103k 
Slaughter Horse 2 2022 · EA · $71k 
MareQuest: An Interactive Tail 2023 · $54k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Kingdom Come: Deliverance | older | $29.99 | 143,303 83% | 4.3M | $129M (exactly $128,929,709) | Warhorse Studios |
| | Saloon Simulator | · EA | $18.99 | 860 89% | 26k | $490k (exactly $489,942) | Glivi Games S.A. |
| | Lyndaria: Lust Adventure | $14.99 | 229 76% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Lustration Team | |
| | Slaughter Horse 2 | · EA older | $5.99 | 395 96% | 12k | $71k (exactly $70,982) | Catfood McFly |
| | MareQuest: An Interactive Tail | older | $4.99 | 360 98% | 11k | $54k (exactly $53,892) | ElectroKaplosion LLC |
 | Bounty Trail | $6.99 | 84 52% | 2.5k | $18k (exactly $17,615) | September Games | |
 | Trans Theft Horso | $11.00 | 18 100% | 540 | $5.9k (exactly $5,940) | Cow Children Games | |
 | RUN HARE RUN | older | $4.99 | 35 68% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | High and Wide |
 | Equestrian Training | older | $14.99 | 9 22% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Smart Tale Games |
 | Pet Vet 3D Wild Animal Hospital | older | $11.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Braingame |
 | Horse Manager | $2.99 | 19 89% | 570 | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) | André Cerqueira | |
 | Dopamine Racing | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Dopamine | |
 | Horse Racing Jackpot | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Wyrmhole Games | |
 | Unicorn Is Out Kissing | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | UnicornianPlayStyle | |
 | Horsin' Around | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Catinator T-800 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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