Games › Flight › Flight + Choices Matter
Should I ship a Choices Matter Flight game?
Flight + Choices Matter
Only 19 developers shipped a Choices Matter Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Whisker Squadron: Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×463 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 41 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 5% | $291k (exactly $290,854) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 57 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Flight
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Flight, Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 913 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Flight with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + CatsFair
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + MiningPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | X-Plane 12 | older | $59.99 | 6,318 86% | 190k | $11M (exactly $11,370,505) | Laminar Research |
| | Star Trek: Infinite | older | $29.99 | 3,030 41% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,726,091) | Nimble Giant Entertainment |
| | I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 | older | $59.99 | 566 79% | 17k | $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) | TechnoBrain |
| | Whisker Squadron: Survivor | $19.99 | 485 77% | 15k | $291k (exactly $290,854) | Flippfly LLC | |
| | Air Defender | · EA | $20.19 | 364 78% | 11k | $220k (exactly $220,475) | ROTOR3 |
| | B-17 Flying Fortress : The Mighty 8th Redux | · EA older | $14.99 | 341 65% | 10k | $153k (exactly $153,348) | MicroProse Software |
| | SEX Airlines 🔞✈️ | older | $9.99 | 151 61% | 4.5k | $45k (exactly $45,255) | Play and Cum 💦 |
| | Tower! 3D | older | $8.99 | 81 60% | 2.4k | $22k (exactly $21,846) | FeelThere |
| | DragonRideVR | older | $14.99 | 47 93% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | TypeEh Studios |
| | B-17 Flying Fortress: The Mighty 8th | older | $7.99 | 84 77% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $20,135) | Wayward Design |
| | Undead: Rise of the Betrayed King | · EA | $19.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Artak Avetisyan |
| | Pocket and Zooom | $15.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $7.7k (exactly $7,675) | TechnoBrain | |
| | ORBITAL | $9.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Night Sky Dogs | |
| | One Million Stars | $19.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Tom Sennett Games | |
| | Simple Airline Sim | $7.99 | 8 0% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | zedzag | |
| | Alastrius: Star-Fighter | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Caledonia Interactive | |
| | Gravity Break | · EA | $13.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $839 (exactly $839) | bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Dan… (bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Daniel Clifton, Nanna Fjord) |
| | The Great Ocean | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Actrio Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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