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Should I ship a Choices Matter Fishing game?
Choices Matter + Fishing
Of 24 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Fishing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×279 the market median. Revenue is up 530% on the market; 34 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 25% | $47k (exactly $46,685) |
| Top 5% | $133k (exactly $132,644) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 530% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Fishing
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter, Fishing; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, RPG
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,216 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wild West Legacy | older | $26.99 | 1,706 39% | 51k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) | Moon Punch Studio |
| | Lakeview Valley | older | $14.99 | 710 82% | 21k | $319k (exactly $319,287) | Roope Tamminen |
| | Voodoo Fishin' | · EA | $9.99 | 800 81% | 24k | $240k (exactly $239,760) | Lost Arcade |
| | Lake of Creatures | $12.49 | 354 92% | 11k | $133k (exactly $132,644) | ANTENNA GAMES | |
| | Shinehill | $10.99 | 265 95% | 8.0k | $87k (exactly $87,370) | Peach Bite | |
| | Loan Shark | $3.99 | 635 84% | 19k | $76k (exactly $76,010) | Studio Ortica | |
| | Carp Fishing Simulator | older | $13.99 | 174 60% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $73,028) | Dangerous Derk Interactive |
| | Dating Simulator | older | $4.99 | 417 55% | 13k | $62k (exactly $62,425) | piratecat games |
| | NTR Hunter | $14.99 | 119 78% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $53,514) | Team18 | |
| | Don't Sleep With The Fishes | $1.99 | 782 95% | 23k | $47k (exactly $46,685) | Taiki | |
| | The Wide Open Sky is Running out of Catfish | $14.99 | 57 100% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $25,633) | ZIPIT! Games | |
| | Apocalypse: The Last RV | · EA | $4.99 | 159 68% | 4.8k | $24k (exactly $23,802) | 光年切片工作室 |
| | Bitter Harvest | $9.99 | 28 71% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | BitQuest Studio | |
| | Thrae | $7.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | skery games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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