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Should I ship a Choices Matter Farming Sim?
Choices Matter + Farming Sim
Of 20 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×8.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $520k, ×1103 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 84 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) |
| Top 25% | $87k (exactly $87,370) |
| Top 5% | $524k (exactly $524,146) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 62 |
| Announced | 84 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter, Farming Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Life Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, First-Person, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,923 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator 2022 · $23M 
Wylde Flowers 2022 · $1.7M 
Echoes of the Plum Grove 2024 · $1.6M 
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator 2021 · $774k 
Adios 2021 · $565k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator | older | $19.99 | 37,870 92% | 1.1M | $23M (exactly $22,710,639) | niceplay games |
| | Wylde Flowers | older | $24.99 | 2,329 95% | 70k | $1.7M (exactly $1,746,051) | Studio Drydock Pty Ltd |
| | Echoes of the Plum Grove | older | $19.99 | 2,681 87% | 80k | $1.6M (exactly $1,607,796) | Unwound Games |
| | Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator | older | $24.99 | 1,033 77% | 31k | $774k (exactly $774,440) | Broken Arms Games |
| | Adios | older | $17.99 | 1,047 94% | 31k | $565k (exactly $565,066) | Mischief |
 | Floodland | older | $19.99 | 921 54% | 28k | $552k (exactly $552,324) | Vile Monarch |
 | Cat God Ranch | older | $9.99 | 1,831 92% | 55k | $549k (exactly $548,751) | CrazyPotato Studio |
 | Grunn | $12.99 | 1,345 95% | 40k | $524k (exactly $524,146) | Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart | |
 | Cattle Country | $18.99 | 335 86% | 10k | $191k (exactly $190,849) | Castle Pixel, LLC. | |
 | Weed Shop 4: Highland | · EA | $19.99 | 205 52% | 6.2k | $123k (exactly $122,938) | Weed Games |
 | Dread Fields | $6.99 | 527 98% | 16k | $111k (exactly $110,512) | Podoba Interactive | |
 | Shinehill | $10.99 | 265 95% | 8.0k | $87k (exactly $87,370) | Peach Bite | |
 | Dream Life in the Country Side | $14.99 | 87 83% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Moonlit Cafe | |
 | Besmirch | · EA | $9.99 | 79 97% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,676) | Gangru Games |
 | Bitter Harvest | $9.99 | 28 71% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | BitQuest Studio | |
 | Ritualis: Summoner Simulator | $5.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $4.7k (exactly $4,672) | Noxtell Games | |
 | Hatarake! - Working Hard! Even though I getting isekai'd! | $4.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) | Ilumiansoft |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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