Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Choices Matter game?

Choices Matter + Faith

Of 32 developers who shipped a Faith Choices Matter game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×271 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 62 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 62 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $26k → $137k → $33k → $898 → $1.9k → $1.1k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,985)
Top 5% $129k (exactly $128,614)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 66
Announced 62
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, RPG, Dating Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cute, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $900, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Leap of Faith older $10.99 2,308 96% 69k $761k (exactly $760,948) DriftyGames
The Inquisitor older $39.99 277 66% 8.3k $332k (exactly $332,317) The Dust S.A.
Sinner Maker · EA $9.66 545 91% 16k $158k (exactly $157,941) Pantokrator
The Mildew Children older $9.99 458 92% 14k $137k (exactly $137,263) The Growing Stones
Marisa of Liartop Mountain $14.99 286 84% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
Islands of the Caliph older $9.99 272 88% 8.2k $82k (exactly $81,518) Schmidt Workshops
Sisters in Sin 🔞 $14.99 165 75% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Lewd Star
Holy Whore Emily $11.99 182 75% 5.5k $65k (exactly $65,465) Asami
Re-Legion older $9.99 200 62% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ice Code Games
Daemonologie $2.99 561 92% 17k $50k (exactly $50,322) Katanalevy
Besmirch · EA $9.99 79 97% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Gangru Games
Nursing Back to Pleasure $9.99 66 78% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Daniels K.
Sainthood $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Sainthood Project
The people of Sea, Sun & Salt $9.99 44 100% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Emerick Gibson
Miss Peacock $9.99 33 96% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Otter Club

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.