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Should I ship a Dinosaur Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Dinosaurs
Only 6 developers shipped a Dinosaur Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gong GO Girl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.6k against a market of $630. 18 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
| Top 25% | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 5% | $2.7k (exactly $2,726) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Dinosaurs
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choices Matter
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 15,073 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
I Wani Hug that Gator! 2024 · $2.3M 
Curious Expedition 2016 · $1.8M 
Goodbye Volcano High 2023 · $1.5M 
Humans are not that against Lizardwomen 2024 · $336k 
Dynopunk 2023 · $205k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | I Wani Hug that Gator! | older | $14.99 | 5,170 98% | 155k | $2.3M (exactly $2,324,949) | Cavemanon |
| | Curious Expedition | older | $14.99 | 3,951 91% | 119k | $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) | Maschinen-Mensch |
| | Goodbye Volcano High | older | $29.99 | 1,676 89% | 50k | $1.5M (exactly $1,507,897) | KO_OP |
| | Humans are not that against Lizardwomen | older | $3.99 | 2,807 93% | 84k | $336k (exactly $335,998) | Hue Axis Entertainment |
| | Dynopunk | older | $14.99 | 456 93% | 14k | $205k (exactly $205,063) | Tomato Fantasy Games |
 | Six Ages 2: Lights Going Out | older | $24.99 | 165 96% | 5.0k | $124k (exactly $123,700) | A Sharp |
 | Sex and the Furry Titty 3: Come Inside, Sweety | older | $9.99 | 325 92% | 9.8k | $97k (exactly $97,402) | Furlough Games |
 | Fossilfuel 2 | older | $19.99 | 142 80% | 4.3k | $85k (exactly $85,157) | DangerousBob Studio LLC |
 | Raptor Boyfriend: A High School Romance | older | $10.99 | 123 94% | 3.7k | $41k (exactly $40,553) | Rocket Adrift |
 | Dino Nest | older | $4.99 | 258 93% | 7.7k | $39k (exactly $38,623) | Raptor Claw Games |
 | Gong GO Girl | $6.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $2.7k (exactly $2,726) | TEAM RESERVOIR DOGAMES | |
 | FURRYVILLE | · EA | $9.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Furry Moon Games |
 | Carpe Dino: Seize the Date | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Black Squirrels Studio Inc. | |
 | Last Ember | · EA | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Last Ember |
 | Dino Run Puzzle | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Luster To Alive | |
 | Stained Glass | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Me (Fraser) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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