Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Cooking game?

Choices Matter + Cooking

Of 59 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Cooking game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 145 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×714 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 145 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 145 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9M → $7.2k → $19k → $49k → $11k → $2.7k → $1.5k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,139)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,418)
Top 5% $339k (exactly $338,972)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 121
Announced 145
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Cooking; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Multiple Endings, RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 3,724 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 145 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + Board GameFair119 devs · median $479 · 150 announced
  8. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  9. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  10. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  11. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  12. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stranded: Alien Dawn older $34.99 9,715 84% 291k $10M (exactly $10,197,836) Haemimont Games
Chef Life: A Restaurant Simulator older $29.99 2,222 83% 67k $2.0M (exactly $1,999,133) Cyanide Studio
Good Pizza, Great Pizza - Cooking Simulator Game older $9.99 6,261 87% 188k $1.9M (exactly $1,876,422) TapBlaze
One Hour One Life older $14.99 3,988 79% 120k $1.8M (exactly $1,793,404) Jason Rohrer
Echoes of the Plum Grove older $19.99 2,681 87% 80k $1.6M (exactly $1,607,796) Unwound Games
Venba older $14.99 2,393 93% 72k $1.1M (exactly $1,076,132) Visai Games
Food Truck Simulator older $19.99 1,106 68% 33k $663k (exactly $663,268) DRAGO entertainment
Saloon Simulator · EA $18.99 860 89% 26k $490k (exactly $489,942) Glivi Games S.A.
TasteMaker older $11.99 1,249 83% 37k $449k (exactly $449,265) Jelle Booij
Sunset Motel $18.99 728 77% 22k $415k (exactly $414,742) Efkey Studios
Maid Cafe on Electric Street $18.99 595 82% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) Adventurer's Tavern
Tostchu $7.99 594 84% 18k $142k (exactly $142,382) Ravenscape Collective
High Times $19.99 163 90% 4.9k $98k (exactly $97,751) Yangyang Mobile
Anime City · EA $14.99 201 72% 6.0k $90k (exactly $90,390) Shoujo City Developer
WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure $29.99 92 78% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) althi Inc.
Taste of the Wind $10.99 168 83% 5.0k $55k (exactly $55,390) 一留留
Bonjour, Cream Inside 💦 $14.99 119 68% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) Juicy Peach Games 🍑
BM Love Cafe $7.99 204 77% 6.1k $49k (exactly $48,899) zzzgame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.