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Should I ship a Choices Matter Collectathon game?
Choices Matter + Collectathon
Of 87 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 118 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×295 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 118 games are announced against 47 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,496) |
| Top 5% | $140k (exactly $140,330) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 87 |
| Released games | 222 |
| Announced | 118 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter, Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Multiple Endings, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 5,287 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 118 games are announced against 47 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
Lunch Lady 2021 · $1.5M 
DevilConnection 2025 · $975k 
Mosaique Neko Waifus 4 2021 · $637k 
Mosaique Neko Waifus 2 2020 · $384k 
Maid Cafe on Electric Street 2024 · $339k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Lunch Lady | older | $4.99 | 9,722 86% | 292k | $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) | Manic Mice |
| | DevilConnection | $16.66 | 1,951 98% | 59k | $975k (exactly $975,110) | ChaoGames | |
| | Mosaique Neko Waifus 4 | older | $4.99 | 4,255 94% | 128k | $637k (exactly $636,974) | Lil Hentai Games |
| | Mosaique Neko Waifus 2 | older | $4.99 | 2,563 94% | 77k | $384k (exactly $383,681) | Lil Hentai Games |
| | Maid Cafe on Electric Street | $18.99 | 595 82% | 18k | $339k (exactly $338,972) | Adventurer's Tavern | |
 | Starstruck Vagabond | older | $19.99 | 559 86% | 17k | $335k (exactly $335,232) | Ben 'Yahtzee' Croshaw |
 | Paranormal Cleanup | $9.99 | 961 88% | 29k | $288k (exactly $288,012) | Manic Mice | |
 | Mosaique Neko Waifus 3 | older | $4.99 | 1,840 94% | 55k | $275k (exactly $275,448) | Lil Hentai Games |
 | Mosaique Neko Waifus 5 | older | $5.99 | 1,328 93% | 40k | $239k (exactly $238,642) | Lil Hentai Games |
 | Full Mojo Rampage | older | $12.99 | 524 85% | 16k | $204k (exactly $204,203) | Over the Top Games |
 | Anomalous Coffee Machine 2 | $6.99 | 753 81% | 23k | $158k (exactly $157,904) | HoruBrain Interactive | |
 | While Waiting | $19.99 | 234 75% | 7.0k | $140k (exactly $140,330) | Optillusion | |
 | Rocket Boots Mania | $14.99 | 229 99% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Luma Play | |
 | Placid Plastic Deck - A Quiet Quest | $12.99 | 208 80% | 6.2k | $81k (exactly $81,058) | turbolento games, Fantastico Studio | |
 | Ghostwriter Workshop | $10.99 | 137 94% | 4.1k | $45k (exactly $45,169) | 秘密結社マテンロウ計画, Studio Dragonet | |
 | Interdimensional Vending Machine | $7.99 | 185 84% | 5.6k | $44k (exactly $44,344) | Neuroticfly Games | |
 | MODEL Debut3 #nicola | $39.99 | 34 79% | 1.0k | $41k (exactly $40,790) | 株式会社ラクジン |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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